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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (68801)	1/4/2007 8:35:31 AM
From: KyrosL	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

The 1990's fertility rates quoted in the presentation you linked in your post have crashed much further since then. The latest fertility rate of Russia, for example, is 1.28. Also, China is below 2, at 1.78, and so is Brazil at 1.9. We don't need an asteroid, a nuclear war, or a virus to have rapidly decreasing world population by the end of the century.

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (68801)	1/4/2007 3:13:56 PM
From: Slagle	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Maurice, Very interesting, and you could very well be correct. There may be a couple of counter trends though. There are some congregations here that have discovered that a high birth rate for the flock is a good thing. Some Protestant sects and even the Orthodox Jews here have high birth rates, and this is a new thing, and the idea is spreading. Then you have the Muslims, which you have to believe is about as much to do with political agitation as it has to do with religion. Could be too, that some existing or future political movement discovers that a high birth rate is a useful too, maybe in a nationalistic way, similar to the way the Nazis encouraged the same. Anyway, I will mentally file away this idea along with several other "Maurice Theories" that I drag out for contemplation from time to time. <grin> Slagle