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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: epicure who wrote (224679)3/19/2007 9:49:53 AM
From: Elroy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
I read it. I don't see which arguments you agree with.

- The Turks would be mad because their Turkish minority, which hates being Turkish, would try to join Kurdistan, which is Kurdish. Uh huh. Fine with me, let them. Turkey's penalty for failing to treat their Kurdish population well and integrate them into Turkey in the past 90 years is they lose them.

- Dividing Iraq would cause sectarian strife. Keeping it together is causing sectarian strife. A wash, but division has a better chance of success (at least for some regions) over the long term.

This paragraph just sounds silly - Major, moderate, pro-American Arab nations like Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, Morocco and the Gulf emirates are likely also to be furious at the Untied States if it partitions Iraq. Baghdad was the seat of the Sunni Muslim Caliphate during the most glorious era of its history and Iraq in modern times too has always been seen as Arabs their most powerful military nation and the one that guards the eastern flank of the Arab world. Partitioning Iraq could therefore give an enormous boost to anti-American passions from Morocco on the Atlantic coast to the Gulf States and Oman by the Indian Ocean.

As I said the Iraqi Arab Shias would be a buffer between the Persian Iranian Shias and the rest of the Sunni Arab world, and the Iraqi Sunni losers with zero oil will get their just deserts for terrorizing the Iraq Shia population for the past 30 years - land in the desert without oil. Tough luck, and good luck to them.

The US interest will be a new ally in the form of Kurdistan, and the Iraqi/Persin Shias and Arab Sunnis can work things out between each other or not, as they like. Any antagonism directed toward each other takes away from time spent planting bombs in Berlin subways. They aren't going to travel across the world to kill Christians when they've got an enemy 100 miles immediately across a desert.