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To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (83794)4/30/2007 3:41:17 PM
From: Pete Mason  Respond to of 206330
 
Luckily, I don't have to beat "the market."

I only have to beat other traders ;-)

-- Pete



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (83794)4/30/2007 4:37:26 PM
From: tom pope  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206330
 
I'm don't want to appear to be trying to flatter you, but if you kept most of your 1999-2000 gains, something more than luck was at work. I guess you saw the Black Swan's fat tail for what it was and acted accordingly.



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (83794)4/30/2007 6:03:08 PM
From: chowder  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206330
 
From my perspective, I don't have to beat the market. I have to beat me.

Although I consider myself a technical trader, I never look at the fundamentals, I don't use technical analysis the way most people do.

My main concern is if price is in an uptrend or downtrend. Then I look at supply vs. demand. If I see where demand has control, I'm in. If supply has control, I'm out. It's a very simple process that I have been able to duplicate over and over again.

With regard to demand, I don't know why pet rocks were popular, but they were. A lot of money was made by retailers who recognized the trend early and took advantage of it.

I remember how hot beanie babies were. A lot of people identified the trend early and took advantage of it, making a lot of money along the way.

Since my background is in sales, I understand the power of supply vs. demand. I see the same thing in the stock market and that's what I try to take advantage of.

With regard to skill, I suppose it would depend on how we define skill.

I can't tell you what stock is going to go up or down. So, I suppose you could say I lack the skill to consistently profit from the market.

What I can do though is identify stocks that are under accumulation by institutional traders and then buy those stocks. Skill? I don't know.

What I do consider a skill is the ability to eliminate most emotion from the process. That takes skill, at least it did for me.

Everything else I learned from someone else who was very good at making money in the market.