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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bart13 who wrote (81588)5/8/2007 6:38:04 PM
From: TimbaBear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
At least watching for and reading broken trend lines is still pretty reliable.

Speaking of which.....

That BLS link you were kind enough to provide has a chart of personal consumption. That chart looks to me to have been in a strong uptrend from 2002 into late 2005. Then it broke down through the trendline pretty sharply. It looks like lower highs from that breakdown. It also looks as though if the rate of personal consumption gets to a negative percentage, that would be a harbinger of a trend that could last quite a while since the lowest it ever got was touching the zero growth line in 1960.