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Politics : New FADG. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (84)	5/14/2007 12:50:56 PM
From: one_less	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 4152

"1. Pakistan too unstable to rise to the superpower status? Who will rule such a country. I gave my predictions ten years. Pakistan has one and only one legitimate claim to its existence. Much like the USA. If our great experiment, that came out of the enlightenment age were to fail, we would quickly disintigrate. Pakistan exists because people wanted to have a Theocratic form of life and government, they believed this would be the beginning of the prophesied world Caliphate. No other nation on the earth was founded with such a clear destination in mind. They are long over due for a major civil conflict. The outcome of that conflict will be a theocratic Sunni Government. They already have nukes and are positioned ideally for what they want. The energy and resources will flow to Pakistan from countries that are too politically and economically compromised. So, while everyone is watching Saudi Arabia all this time, the slight of hand move will be Pakistan. "2. Iran will end up attaining nukes in your scenario. What do US and ISrael do or is iran getting nukes contingent on a less bellicose to the west stance?" Iran will develop nukes, the last mile of production may be in Russia initially but with diplomatic smoke and mirrors no one will be the 'owners' of nukes and nuclear powered military vessels and equipment will prove to be more powerful than actual nuclear bombs anyway. Nuclear energy more than nuclear bombs will bolster Iran's rise. "3. Russia gets the euros because they are too dependent on Russian oil and gas? Does russia end up as a Gaullist type democracy or something more fascist?" No need to be a fascist when others are scratching at the door. They will be seen as benevolent in a secular humanist sort of way. United regions will maintain autonomy of local government. "4. China and India both going down. Thats a stretch, no?" They wont go down economically. They will continue in economic development but after a short period of seeming to be a threat to world power they will become too embroiled in their domestic problems to be a contender for world domination. They will likely align themselves with Russia economically. Russian military alliances will be welcomed of course.

To: michael97123 who wrote (84)	5/15/2007 1:07:02 PM
From: one_less	Respond to of 4152

5. I also think Mubarak of Egypt is wearing a bulls eye target for an Islamic Brotherhood assassin.