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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: elmatador who wrote (19614)6/15/2007 3:57:32 PM
From: Metacomet  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217545
 
We are in a race to buttress that infrastructure or fall victim to this doomsday scenario.

en.wikipedia.org



To: elmatador who wrote (19614)7/10/2007 3:50:11 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Respond to of 217545
 
An interesting and frightening theory- -if it's right. To me it sounds too much like Malthusianism
search.com
which has already been busted.

8 billion with a 1/3 increase? Current world population is estimated at 6.6 billion- -although that is an estimate; no one really knows. A 1/3 increase on that figure is closer to 9 billion- -even worse.

But all of this assumes continued exponential growth of population growth. See the graph titled "World Population Increase" under the "Non-occurrence of the the catastrophe" section.
search.com
You can see that it indicates the exponential curve has already broken, so that 8 or 9 billion figure is dead. It was long ago observed that, as standards of living increase, population rate of increase falls and even becomes negative. We've seen that in this country with the 'baby bust' that threatens to sink SS.
census.gov
The same negative intrinsic growth rate (ie., without the added population resulting from immigration) has occurred in Western Europe.

At the end of that article are numerous links to other articles on the subject.

Reference is made is the article to the logistic curve
en.wikipedia.org
which appears to be a better representation of population growth.