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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Math Junkie who wrote (1168)	9/24/2007 3:24:13 PM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2121

As a math junkie, you should know the measure is "deviation" where you should look at how often his advice has deviated correctly from the buy and hold of the Wilshire5000. I would say you need to use number of times and magnitude of deviation, right or wrong, and integrate it... which is what measuring his record vs. the S&P500 or W5000 does. Maybe that is why nobody but you and a handful of others try to make a big deal about being correct to be fully invested.

To: Math Junkie who wrote (1168)	9/24/2007 3:26:16 PM
From: Boca_PETE	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2121

Hay Math Junkie, Be even more fair, add to your numbers 1982 (From August)-1987 Right for about 5 years. 1981-1982 Right for cautious dollar-cost-averaging into a declining market P

To: Math Junkie who wrote (1168)	9/24/2007 3:45:31 PM
From: sweetsue	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 2121

Math Junkie, I was not referring to the numbers of years. I was referring to the numbers of times he has been "right" rather than "wrong." Even so, you seem to have missed a few of his really bad calls: * Brinker completely missed October 1987 Black Monday * Brinker predicted a stock market "countertrend rally" in October, 2000 that never materialized. * Brinker predicted a stock market "countertrend rally" in January, 2001 that never materialized. * Brinker predicted a stock market "countertrend rally" in March, 2001 that never materialized. And Math Junkie, shall we talk about his most recent "wrong" buying opportunities that he gave this March and July? Or doesn't anything he says matter as long as it's not part of his advertised performance record? .