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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bart13 who wrote (87634)10/12/2007 5:45:08 PM
From: benwood  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Thanks, Bart! It looks like the top one is w/o CPI or CPI w/ lies compensation, right?

Either way... it looks like the top 1% giving the rest the middle finger again. We'll need more pixels in our displays in a few years, lest that red line disappear altogether.

edit: I'm not sure how to interpret the raw numbers in the top chart -- there are two Y-axis scales?? And the raw numbers on the left are far lower than I expected.



To: bart13 who wrote (87634)10/12/2007 8:31:42 PM
From: ggersh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
That says it all... the TRICKLE UP effect is working just fine



To: bart13 who wrote (87634)10/13/2007 2:37:36 PM
From: John Metcalf  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Thanks for the great charts, Bart. The epi.org site has a page with more detail on wealth distribution, segmenting the top 20% into four groups. In rough numbers, the top 1% own a third of all wealth, the next 4% and the next 15% own about a quarter each. The remaining 80% own about 17% in aggregate.

To me, the largest impact of this distribution is that 80% of the votes belong to people without much of an equity stake in the country. That will be bad for us, as it was for the late Roman and Greek empires.

As for implications for public markets, the top 5% have a large enough amount of wealth that they have to invest it, controlling nearly 60% of all wealth. The remaining 40% of assets are spread over 95% of the population, perhaps in assets like home equity, 401-K's/IRA's, tools/equipment/land, etc. Financial markets may escape problems like loan foreclosures until rates of repayment affect financial assets directly, in the form of write-downs and insolvencies. Even then, the top X per centile will recover by buying even more assets after they have been marked down.

Equity markets have been at all-time highs. Seems reasonable, given that most of the money supporting them belongs to people who must continue to invest it.



To: bart13 who wrote (87634)10/13/2007 2:48:31 PM
From: Sea Otter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Excellent material, Bart. But I wonder how much of this is US-centric? Perhaps there are similar trends of wealth-concentration in advanced economies in general.