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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gvatty who wrote (243062)10/30/2007 5:19:05 PM
From: Sarmad Y. HermizRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
well, you named many possibilities, but not the actual one. Demand is higher than anyone had expected, and is higher than production capacity.

Of course "demand" is at a price level. At the current price level, there is demand exceeding supply of both Intel and AMD. Both ended with reduced inventory in q3. Which is abnormal, since q4 demand is usually higher than a quarter's production capacity. And is usually filled by drawing down inventory, which is stocked during q3.

The indication of whether I am right or not is whether Intel has record revenue this quarter, or not. That's why I pointed out that Intel could end with revenue higher than $11 B. Likely you don't follow Intel. That would be a record exceeding any prior quarter of Intel or any other chip maker.

That would be a sign or strong demand. Not bad yield or poor customer service. More a sign of Intel not needing to accommodate demand at a low price. In last CC, they said they declined deals they didn't like.



To: gvatty who wrote (243062)10/31/2007 2:51:45 AM
From: TenchusatsuRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
Gvatty, > All of these should cause some level of concern with a diligent Intel investor.

What I see is record revenues with higher gross margin as Intel sells everything they can make.

AMD may have crept up in unit market share, but they're still losing money at an incredible rate. Close to $400 million in losses last quarter, and this in a very high-demand environment.

Now you tell me who should be concerned.

Tenchusatsu