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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (92978)11/2/2007 7:45:42 AM
From: quehubo  Respond to of 206323
 
The market is hoping for a cool start to Winter with November and December forecasted much cooler than last year.

I am leary that the weather will actually play out as forecasted and I am also concerned about curtailed production coming back on with the first draws.

I am thinking we could see some real weak draws.



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (92978)11/2/2007 8:13:52 AM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206323
 
You may be right, but the BTU equivalent price of natural gas as compared to crude would be over $15. It's a very loose equivalence, but it does tend to revert. But as you say, that's an awful ot of gas in storage and it will take a while to work it off. A bargain for whoever can use it.



To: Dennis Roth who wrote (92978)11/2/2007 9:03:41 AM
From: Ed Ajootian  Respond to of 206323
 
Dennis, I agree with your thoughts except the thought that LDC's are in no hurry to buy gas on the spot market.

With a buck & half premium between the December futures contract and the spot market I would respectfully submit that the situation ought to be quite the opposite, especially now that we are now basically in storage draw mode (or if not, just days away from that), so any issues regarding maxing out storage are withering away as the weather gets colder.

If you have the choice of pulling gas from storage or keeping it there and buying spot for $1.50 less than what you can sell that gas for in a month, what would you do?