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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (26506)12/15/2007 12:15:29 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217798
 
Food prices are at their highest levels since 1845, that's a 162 year high according to the widely respected Economist magazine and its food-price index.

"All told, the anticipated rise in meat demand over the next 13 years will require as much as a 30% increase in global grain production to meet demand.

Demand for Food, Other Natural Resources Booming

Larry Edelson discusses the growing demand for food and natural resources in China and India. In this issue of Money and Markets, Mr. Edelson takes a closer look at the growing populations overseas and what that means for supply and demand for natural resources.

Jupiter, Fla. (PRWEB) December 15, 2007 -- Larry Edelson discusses the growing demand for food and natural resources in China and India. Mr. Edelson takes a closer look at the growing populations overseas and what that means for supply and demand for natural resources.

Food prices are at their highest levels since 1845, that's a 162 year high according to the widely respected Economist magazine and its food-price index.

In large part, the weak dollar is why food prices are soaring. Wheat, corn, soybeans and even meat products are priced and traded in dollars, so when the dollar falls, the prices of these commodities typically rise in value. But the weak dollar is just one part of the equation. Growing populations overseas have also produced a large demand in many other natural resources: Oil, gold, silver, copper, uranium. Now the demand is surging full force when it comes to food products. And like other natural resources, the strongest demand for food is coming from Asia.

Consider China, for example:
Although it still maintains its one-child-per family policy in the cities, it's not illegal to have more children, provided the family effectively pays its own way for education and other social services. And with increasing household incomes in the urban areas, many more couples are opting to do just that.
China expects its population to increase 300 million to 1.6 billion by 2050.

That's the equivalent of adding the entire population of America. Meanwhile, domestic supplies of food in China have been shrinking: China's grain harvests, including wheat, corn and rice, have declined in four of the last five years because China's arable land is shrinking at the rate of 2.47 million acres a year. Construction is eating up land once used for growing crops.

Aquifers have been dropping rapidly, reducing irrigation water supplies. Farmland near urban centers is being converted from grain production to higher value crops like fresh fruits and vegetables. Urban migration is depleting the countryside of able-bodied field workers.

As the imbalance in supply and demand has become more pronounced, China has been turning to imports for its grain supplies.

Meanwhile, much the same is happening in India, the world's second most populous country. Over the next 15 years, India's burgeoning population of one billion is expected to increase 30%. Plus, like China, India is also experiencing mass migration to urban centers like Mumbai, Calcutta, and Delhi. That means fewer farmers growing less food.

And although China and India are by far the biggest consumers of grains and soybeans, they are not the only sources of burgeoning demand for agricultural goods. By 2030, there will be another 1.4 billion more new mouths to feed from other corners of the globe. Sub-Saharan Africa is one of the demographic hotspots. The population there is going to explode from 642 million today to 1.4 billion in the next 25 years.

Another factor pushing grain prices higher is that populations are changing their food habits. According to the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation, by 2020 demand for meat, poultry, and dairy products in 12 Asian countries will soar as much as 55%. Beef consumption will increase by 50%, pork 30%, chicken 40%, and dairy 55%.

Already, since 1985, per capita consumption of animal protein calories in China has more than doubled, rising from 44 pounds to 110 pounds. Among developing economies around the world, demand for meat has shot higher, doubling in just the last 20 years. It would be one thing if demand for meat was rising as demand for other foodstuffs such as seafood, grains, even rice, was falling. But that's not happening. Demand for all foods is rising across the board.

Moreover, increased demand for meat puts additional upward pressure on grain prices. That's because it takes about two kilograms of feed grain to produce one kilogram of chicken. For pork, it takes three kilos of grain, and for beef, eight.

"All told, the anticipated rise in meat demand over the next 13 years will require as much as a 30% increase in global grain production to meet demand.

"Bottom line: A rapidly growing population translates into increased demand for food. Changing food habits are compounding the problem. And the falling dollar is like gasoline on the fire," Mr. Edelson states.

To read this issue online, please visit:
moneyandmarkets.com



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (26506)12/15/2007 11:42:45 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217798
 
Bell Labs Is Gone. We have technology to take us to 2017. In the bygone days of innovation, large corporations — like RCA, Xerox and the old AT&T — maintained internal laboratories like Bell Labs. These corporate labs were essentially research universities embedded in private companies, and their employees published academic papers, spoke at conferences and even gave away valuable breakthroughs. Bell Labs, for instance, created the world’s first transistor after World War II — and never earned a dollar from the innovation.

Paid by the customers who used telephone services. No competition. All that allow Bell Labs to do their thing on the sides.

Almost no corporate labs based on the Bell or Xerox model remain, victims of cost-cutting and a new appreciation by corporate leaders that commercial innovations may flow best when scientists and engineers stick to business problems.

I love Globalization!!! Those developments are excellent. There has been too much money going into pseudo-science.

Bell Labs Is Gone. Academia Steps In.
Noah Berger for The New York Times
By G. PASCAL ZACHARY
Published: December 16, 2007
PAY me now, and pay me later.

That’s the new mind-set at some leading research universities in dealing with business — and the essence of an emerging model for how corporations can tap big brains on campus without having to pay their salaries.

Corporations have long been able to license intellectual property from universities, but these deals are cumbersome to negotiate and tend to work best when corporate researchers know exactly what they need to create.

They don’t always. Often, they explore scientific and technological frontiers without a map. After blue-sky thinking and random experimentation, they build new products without relying on neatly defined patents or published scientific papers — the bread-and-butter of academic knowledge production.

In the bygone days of innovation, large corporations — like RCA, Xerox and the old AT&T — maintained internal laboratories like Bell Labs. These corporate labs were essentially research universities embedded in private companies, and their employees published academic papers, spoke at conferences and even gave away valuable breakthroughs. Bell Labs, for instance, created the world’s first transistor after World War II — and never earned a dollar from the innovation.

Almost no corporate labs based on the Bell or Xerox model remain, victims of cost-cutting and a new appreciation by corporate leaders that commercial innovations may flow best when scientists and engineers stick to business problems.

The obsession with marrying research and markets, while generally a strength of American capitalism, leaves some needs unmet. To fill them, “companies need boots on the ground at universities,” says Henry Chesbrough, a business professor who studies innovation at the University of California, Berkeley.

A vanguard group of universities is giving corporations greater access to ivory-tower laboratories — for a price. Stanford has paired with Exxon Mobil in a deal worth $100 million over 10 years. The University of California, Davis, is getting $25 million from Chevron. And Intel has opened collaborative laboratories with Berkeley, the University of Washington and Carnegie Mellon.

The appeal of these arrangements is that “we get broad engagement with universities,” says Andrew A. Chien, Intel’s director of research. “Their researchers work on frontiers, in unexplored territory. We want explorers.”

Intel hopes to learn more about scientific and technical developments that might influence its business, even decades from now. The company says it benefits from having its own employees rub shoulders with professors, while gaining the chance to observe younger talent in Ph.D. programs.

“You can view this as a pure pipeline,” says Mr. Chien, himself a former professor.

Jean Stéphenne, president of the vaccine division of GlaxoSmithKline, the pharmaceutical company, says university partnerships with corporations will grow “because technology is changing so rapidly.” Even if companies have the resources to finance their own research and identify the right academic problems to tackle, they usually don’t have the time to assemble a staff to pursue these problems. Without help from university professors, Mr. Stéphenne asks, “How can we cope?”

Some people doubt that formal partnerships between corporations and universities can deliver real benefits.

“Universities don’t innovate,” says Curtis R. Carlson, chief executive of SRI International, a nonprofit research institute in Menlo Park, Calif., that bought what remained of RCA’s lab. “Innovation means you get it out so people can use it. The university is not going to take it to the world.”

But corporations hope that universities can help them take innovations to the world faster and more efficiently. Last month, BP pledged to spend $500 million over 10 years on alternative-energy research to be carried out by a new Energy Biosciences Institute at Berkeley, which will manage work done at a nearby Department of Energy lab and at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

“This is a new model we’re working through in real time,” says Robert J. Birgeneau, the chancellor of Berkeley.

CRITICS of corporate-university partnerships fear limits on academic freedom or, worse, that companies might censor results that go against their interests.

BULLSHIT!! They don't want to do things that earn money from the capital invested and go writing useless papers about things like GW!)

The risk of such interference seems small, however. Despite the large amount being offered by BP, the money will be divided three ways; of Berkeley’s annual research budget of $500 million (nearly all from the federal government), BP will be contributing less than 3 percent.

Under the terms of the partnership, meanwhile, Berkeley professors are free to publish results of BP-funded research. The university also will own the rights to any resulting intellectual property. BP would even have to license that intellectual property, though payments are capped and the company would get the first look at promising results.

The alternative to corporate funds is for universities to rely even more on government funds. And that raises parallel issues in the minds of some academics. The idea that government funding plays no role in prioritizing research “is completely at odds with reality,” says Michael Crowe, the president of Arizona State University.

The marriage of corporations and university researchers is still in its early days. “In the decades ahead, we will see more differentiation among universities in how they go about doing this,” Mr. Crowe says.

For universities, no matter what models emerge, the key is to deliver benefits to society and business.

“Will these partnerships produce products you won’t get from two people in a garage?” Mr. Birgeneau asks. “We don’t know that yet. It is an important question.”

G. Pascal Zachary teaches journalism at Stanford and writes about technology and economic development. E-mail: gzach@nytimes.com.



To: Maurice Winn who wrote (26506)12/16/2007 2:57:42 AM
From: Snowshoe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217798
 
>>They won't even have to hurry<<

Two inches a years is 5 to 6 meters per century, which is the extreme worst-case-scenario that some scientists are starting to whisper about. I think it would set off quite a land rush to acquire property on higher ground. Governments would likely declare an emergency, seize property, pass all kinds of rules, etc. Low-lying places like Florida, New Orleans, London, the Netherlands, the Amazon and Bangladesh would be in "deep doo doo".