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Strategies & Market Trends : Financialsense (FSO) - Jim Puplava forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: the navigator who wrote (66)	1/7/2008 2:02:09 AM
From: roguedolphin	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 125

Depression in 2010?.....I think it's quite possible it arrives a lot sooner. The credit bubble was worldwide and I do expect it to "unravel" worldwide......we're probably further along in the "unwinding process" than many other nations around the world at this time I would guess. Rogue

To: the navigator who wrote (66)	1/8/2008 11:55:01 PM
From: sea_biscuit	Respond to of 125

Also said 1st and 4th qtrs of this year will not be good. Yes, he said that the 1st qtr will be poor because of the markets responding to impending recession and slowdown in the economy. And the 2nd, 3rd qtrs will be positive because of the reflation efforts by the Fed(possibly aimed at the coming elections). And by the 4th qtr, we go down again because the forces of inflation would be apparent and obvious, with headline inflation rates registering 6 percent or 7 percent. Markets will go down then because the Fed will be forced to raise rates. That is the Oreo scenario described by Puplava Qtr1--->Qtr2,Qtr3-->Qtr4 i.e. hard--->soft--->hard

To: the navigator who wrote (66)	1/10/2008 5:38:58 PM
From: sea_biscuit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 125

Well, Puplava's scenario is playing out exactly as he had described it. Benny today said he would cut interest rates. The markets are already pricing in a 50-bp cut. Stocks are rising. Dollar is falling. Gold has gone through the roof. Silver has started accelerating and YTD has risen faster than the dollar (the best indication that we are getting into hyperinflation rather than deflation). The next thing will be a tax cut announcement at the SOTU by George W Bush. More free money! More helicopter money so that we can all go and spend! And all the time, the deflationists have been whining - "nah, nah, this won't work", "Nyah, that won't work", "The Fed is powerless", blah blah blah. Yes, we all know it won't work. But it will unleash inflation in the prices of everything we need (food, energy, healthcare, education...) and deflation of everything we own (stocks, bonds, houses - not necessarily in terms of helicopter money, but in terms of real money i.e. gold and silver).