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Strategies & Market Trends : Can you beat 50% per month? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Smiling Bob who wrote (12834)1/17/2008 3:09:39 PM
From: Smiling Bob  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19256
 
Definitely seeing more reasonable PEs

HEADLINES Change Display [ hide $$ edit ]
• Sector Snap: Solar Stocks Regain Losses
AP (Thu 2:01pm)
• Sector Snap: Solar-Power Stocks Fall
AP (Wed 12:28pm)

Sector Snap: Solar Stocks Regain Losses
Thursday January 17, 2:01 pm ET
Investors See Recent Solar Sell-Off As Chance to Buy; Analysts Say Long-Term Outlook Is Strong

NEW YORK (AP) -- Investors sent solar-power stocks higher on Thursday, seeing the recent sell-off as a buying opportunity for major players.

Many solar shares have suffered because of economic concerns affecting the overall market, the recent energy bill passage without added solar incentives, and lower oil prices. In theory, higher costs for fossil fuels make alternative energy a more viable option.

Despite the recent decline, several analysts have reiterated a view that sector dips are not an indication of long-term weakness for the solar-power market.

"While we see demand hiccups ahead for the solar industry, we expect them to be short lived as the industry will stimulate elastic demand through lower prices," Thomas Weisel Partners analyst Jeff Osborne wrote in a note Thursday.

He named MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. and Suntech Power Holdings Co. as favorites. Osborne said MEMC offers an attractive share price and solid cash flow, while Suntech is an "industry heavyweight" that is set to post better gross margins.

MEMC shares rose 84 cents to $65.50 as Suntech shares gained $1.65, or 2.9 percent, to $58.10.

Cowen and Co. analyst Rob Stone said the recent sell-off was spurred by overall economic concerns and fears of solar-panel oversupply. He expects supply to "remain tight" at least into 2009, with improved costs leading to equality with traditional energy sources such as electricity.

"Some challenging transitional quarters along the way are inevitable, which the top tier players, and those with vertical or virtual integration should be best prepared to handle," Stone said in a note Thursday.

Banc of America Securities analyst Eric Brown, who is generally cautious on renewable-energy stocks, reiterated a "Buy" rating on JA Solar Holdings Co. shares Thursday following the company's report of a polysilicon supply deal. JA Solar said M.Setek Co. has agreed to provide it with an additional 458 metric tons (505 tons) of polysilicon this year.

The agreement will "provide a cushion" to its 2008 supplies in case another provider falls through, or enable it to raise production targets, Brown said.

JA Solar shares rose $2.53, or 4.2 percent, to $63.35. Other gains were posted by LDK Solar Co., which rose $2.64, or 7.7 percent, to $37.09; Canadian Solar Inc., which rose 86 cents, or 4.8 percent, to $18.76; and Trina Solar Ltd., which rose 90 cents, or 2.4 percent, to $38.19.



To: Smiling Bob who wrote (12834)1/17/2008 4:30:39 PM
From: Smiling Bob  Respond to of 19256
 
UPDATE 1-INTERVIEW-China's LDK Solar sees 2008 profit up a third
Thu Jan 17, 2008 2:47pm GMT

* China's LDK Solar (LDK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) expects net profit to top $200 mln in 2008 vs own forecast of over $150 mln in 2007 * LDK Solar could become No. 1 wafer maker by shipment in three years' time * LDK Solar to boost headcount to 10,000 by end-2008 from 6,500 now (Adds details)

By Judy Hua

SHENZHEN, China, Jan 17 (Reuters) - Solar wafer maker LDK Solar Co Ltd (LDK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) expects its net profit to exceed $200 million this year, about a third higher than the company's forecast for net profit of more than $150 million in 2007, its chief financial officer said on Thursday.

The company, based in China's central province of Jiangxi, aims to quadruple its wafer production capacity to 1,600 megawatts by 2009 from 400 megawatts now to meet robust demand.

LDK is likely to overtake Norway's Renewable Energy Corporation ASA (REC.OL: Quote, Profile, Research) to become the world's largest wafer maker in terms of shipment in three years' time, Jack Lai, chief financial officer told Reuters on the sidelines of a solar technology conference in the southern city of Shenzhen, near Hong Kong.

"Our target is to become the largest and the most cost-effective solar wafer maker in the world," Lai said.

"We are growing faster than REC, although REC is growing very aggressively. There is a chance that we could exceed it in three years' time."

LDK has forecast wafer shipments of 510 megawatts to 530 megawatts in 2008, and 1,050 megawatts to 1,150 megawatts in 2009.

The company, which manufactures and sells solar wafers to be used to build panels and arrays, has been diversifying its customer base by signing a string of contracts with solar cell companies in Europe and the United States, including German's Q-Cells AG (QCEG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research).

Sales from Chinese clients, such as Suntech Power (STP.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Solarfun Power Holdings (SOLF.O: Quote, Profile, Research), accounted for 30 percent of the company's total turnover in 2007 from 70 percent a year earlier.

Thanks to such contracts, LDK has essentially sold out all of its shipments in 2008 and 90 percent of shipment next year, Lai added.

"We aim to sell to the top 20 solar cell makers in the world."

The company's gross margin has been declining due to a tight supply environment for polysilicon, a key raw material which accounted for 80 percent of LDK's costs.

Polysilicon prices have shot up recently as solar cell and semiconductor companies scramble to secure supplies of it.

To better secure the raw material, LDK plans to spend $1.2 billion to build two polysilicon plants in Jiangxi, with a total capacity of 16,000 tonnes by 2009, Lai said.

Their combined polysilicon output is expected to be 5,000 to 7,000 tonnes in 2009.

Some analysts are worried that polysilicon prices will have eased by the time the plants start production, but Lai shrugged it off, saying there was no sign that the price will fall significantly in the near future.

The company has forecast gross margins between 26 percent to 31 percent in 2008, rising to 42 percent to 50 percent in 2009.

To match its ambitious expansion plan, LDK will boost its headcount by more than 50 percent to 10,000 by the end of this year from 6,500 now, he added. (Reporting by Judy Hua, editing by Will Waterman)

© Reuters 2007. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.
Reuters journalists are subject to the Reuters Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.



To: Smiling Bob who wrote (12834)2/8/2008 2:33:50 PM
From: Smiling Bob  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19256
 
LDK - trying again - in at 2.45

30.44 0.57 1.90% 1,838,798 Last Trade as of 2:33 PM ET 2/8/08 Trade Add to Watchlist
Last Change / % Change Volume S&P Ranking

Set AlertsSummary News Charts Options Fundamentals Insiders Earnings Financials SEC Filings LDK Option | Exchange: OPRA 2.45 +0.05 2.08% 2.45 2.35 2.50 3.00 2.40 456 Trade
.LDKCG MAR 22, 2008 $ 35.000 CALL Last Change / % Change Today´s Open Bid Ask Day High Day Low Volume



To: Smiling Bob who wrote (12834)8/26/2008 9:09:53 AM
From: Smiling Bob  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19256
 
LDK has had a good year
Up about 70% since first discovered in Jan
Again, the longer term calls were the way to go
Message 24222655
---
LDK climbs as sales outlook beats analyst views
Monday August 25, 5:23 pm ET
LDK Solar shares rise after company issues 2009 revenue outlook ahead of analyst expectations

NEW YORK (AP) -- LDK Solar Co. shares jumped Monday after the China-based solar wafer maker predicted 2009 revenue above analysts' expectations, saying it has attained its goal of increasing wafer production capacity ahead of schedule.

ADVERTISEMENT
LDK American Depositary Shares rose $4.24, or 9.2 percent, to $50.06. In the past year, the stock has traded between $19.64 and $76.75.

LDK expects $2.8 billion to $3 billion in annual revenue; analysts polled by Thomson Reuters have forecast $2.43 billion in revenue.

The company said it attained a goal of shipping 1.0 gigawatts ahead of schedule, and predicted it will ship 1.45 gigawatts to 1.55 gigawatts of wafer shipments in 2009.

LDK makes multicrystalline silicon solar wafers, which are the main raw material used to make solar cells.

In a note to investors, ThinkPanmure LLC analyst Peter Peng said he is "confident in LDK's expansion plans" after visiting the company's new supplier of multicrystalline casting furnaces, JYT Corp.

Peng said JYT's 800 kg multicrystalline furnace "is one of the first in the industry and could improve yield, while saving production costs."

He also visited Tangshan Silicon, which could be a competitor for LDK in polysilicon production, but said LDK "could actually benefit by actively participating in new technologies."

Peng rates the shares "Buy" with a $55 price target.