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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (79101)	1/24/2008 10:53:59 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Depends. I'm convinced it has been a bear market since 2000 despite the nominal bull market of 2002-2007, since the gold-denominated price has been constantly dropping. Returns in the stock market will be lower than inflation for another decade. However, I am not entirely convinced the Fed is completely trapped and the nominal bull market won't continue until I see the T-bonds melt with the dollar. In the meantime, the Fed lives off the (fake) fear of deflation. Long rates are near all-time lows, despite the fact that the government is debt-ridden and essentially insolvent, and the dollar is almost in a free fall. VICTORY! These are called "risk-free" rates, by the way -ggg- Risk-free confiscation through inflation? -g- Now, they need nominal growth for stocks to TAX your capital gains, and as a collateral for your loans, so you are robbed twice. A melt cannot be tolerated. Banks work off spreads, so they don't care. I'm convinced this will continue until they blow up the currency.