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To: the-phoenix who wrote (5696)2/4/2008 10:58:06 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 41447
 
I find that LD's are not as uncommon as we all think. Why should they be? An Leading Diagonal is merely an impulse where the 1st wave tends to be the longest, and the 5th the shortest, and where pullbacks overlap with peaks. There is no "real life" reason as to why this cannot occur relatively often, and I think it does.

On a larger time frame, in a bearish version, this latest rally would have to be W4. If so, then the 5th wave down, if it happens, may actually complete the bear market -- since the whole enchilada would be likely to be a large Flat with an orthodox top last July.

The bullish version, of course, is that the Jan low will stand, and we had an ABC down off the Oct top.



To: the-phoenix who wrote (5696)2/4/2008 11:48:36 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 41447
 
ER puts it eloquently as usual - in yet another variation of the S-T bearish version. The immediately bullish version is the same as what I offered just below.

Message 24281854



To: the-phoenix who wrote (5696)2/4/2008 11:49:51 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 41447
 
ER puts it eloquently as usual - in yet another variation of the S-T bearish version (bullish longer term). The immediately bullish version is the same as what I offered just below.

Message 24281854