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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: yard_man who wrote (4115)	2/9/2008 9:05:03 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 71456

It's hard to prop currencies. Look at the daily amounts of Japanese props. Those are Yen, so divide by 100. The carry trade stress could end at Y=105 if BOJ comes back with its regular props, then the low Fed funds rates will take over, and the dollar will fall. I wonder if they are propping already. dailyfx.com On the other hand, we may be at the stage when the markets can no longer be controlled, cause the very control mechanism (derivatives) is breaking down.

To: yard_man who wrote (4115)	2/10/2008 12:17:01 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 71456

It's da end game. Sell everything, xept what you hold, of course. Buy it if they sell it. Not sure about that seasonal February big dip. It could come now, it could come in May, or we may not get much of a dip at all until much higher. 50$ could have been enough of a dip in this environment. Deflationistas are wrong. Da US treasuries will melt with da dollar. Could be initially positive for stocks, if most of the folks don't get it - da melt is US financial and currency crisis. shadowstats.com Actual 2007 Federal Deficit Topped $4.0 Trillion • Fed Allows Strongest Money Growth in 36 Years • Inflationary Recession Intensifies Sharply • Dollar and Gold Breathers Are Proving Short-Lived • Solvency Crisis Intensifies as System Careens Towards Economic and Financial Disaster • Pushing the system ever nearer to the brink of the ultimate liquidity crisis, the Fed's December 11th easing, albeit minimal, played to the Wall Street speculators, not to the increasingly troubled global community holding large quantities of a rapidly-debasing U.S. dollar. Those not-so-happy dollar owners can see the U.S. economy sinking quickly into an inflationary recession, with the U.S. banking system facing a solvency crisis and the U.S. central bank playing games with itself. Such portends very difficult times for the greenback and the U.S. financial markets in 2008. The gold and silver markets, however, will be primary beneficiaries of these troubles