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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dvdw© who wrote (29519)2/15/2008 2:36:08 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217656
 
I don't deny the past. Past set of circumstances are gone. There are some other forces in play:

Can't tax more. See extension of CPMF not approved.

Demographic window points to less costs to government as more productive people are working (less children and -for a while- less old people.)

Under this set of circumstances, even lousy government can do well. See Europe, US, Canada, Japan between 1946 and 1973.

It is the productive people of those countries above -under a particular set of cirsumetances- that changed those economies. Not the wise government policy.

Of course everyone praise Konrad Adenauer and Japanese miracle etc etc... But right now that set of circumstances gone they slowly wither away undert the weight of higher % of older population.



To: dvdw© who wrote (29519)2/15/2008 2:45:45 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217656
 
I'm an assumption based person. I assume a certain outcome. Call it a theory. Then I try to find facts that either give my assumption power or weaken it.

The more facts I find that prove my assumption right. The more that assumption has power. The more facts I find that weakens my assumption or theory, the more weak it is then I disregard it altogether.

There are no assumptions that I post here that has been 100% disregarded ads a totally and absolute wrong. Since an assumption or theory is something totally new, it is hard to go out there and disprove based on facts that are known.

It is a matter of time where slowly the theory-assumption become mainstream and no one even stop to discuss it.

Being it totally new, people tend to say: I haven’t seen on TV, there are no medallions (medallions are mouthpieces acceptable by the majority of people) talking about it.

As you can see there is a dearth of people who can any original thinking. That's also one of my assumptions.