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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dale Baker who wrote (54576)	3/20/2008 10:51:34 AM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 542599

In short, both Democratic candidates are using dubious electoral arguments to promote their candidacies. Their primary showings do not predict the fall election. Of course, neither do today's public opinion polls forecast the fall results. It is far too early for the November horserace match-ups to have much meaning. Historically, one could argue that it will be a week or two after the second party convention--thus, this year, about mid-September--before the polls begin to be at all reliable. Hmm, I didn't see the piece building to this conclusion. Moreover, I think it's too early to reach this. Well, I don't disagree with the last sentence. We are a long way from knowing what this will all look like in September.