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To: stan_hughes who wrote (363289)3/23/2008 10:40:43 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
I doubt it. This market has been controlled through
derivatives, and we are witnessing a breakdown of control
mechanism, and a fight to preserve that mechanism?

It is VERY hard to be optimistic about it, but here is a
"glass half full" thought. The most of OTC derivatives are
done between banks
and other financial institutions, according to BIS. Thus,
these huge positions must make roughly 1/2 of financial
system insolvent. Open interest in OTC can be reduced through
takeovers of losers by the winners, which is what we have
been witnessing lately. The role of the Fed, etc. must
be to regulate these explosive things, and try to encourage
gradual decrease of the open interest.

In other words, maybe they can make something not so drastic
in these markets through consolidation of financial industry.