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Politics : Barack Hussein Obama, Jr. President or Pretender? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mistermj who wrote (826)3/31/2008 11:08:16 PM
From: Nicholas Thompson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1090
 
Mr Rove is a losing shit stirrer who should be ignored. There is statistically no way that Hillary can get enough delegates ar this late date. Obama is likely to win at least about 52% of the remaining delegates, probably more and is slowly pulling even and then soon ahead in super-delegates .

. Rove can rave all he wants, but facts are facts. In this regard it looks like Obama picked up one regular delegate today, while Hillary lost one- Mississippi. also Obama gained one super-delegate today. _as you know obama picked up a few delegates in Texas over the weekend.Obama is now ahead by at least 170 regular delegates.

There are 550 regular delegates yet to pick. Hillary would have to get 360 of these delegates, to get even in regular delegates , but she is likely to get only 250 at the very, very most, leaving her 195 regular delegates behind. (I think actually she will finish about 210 regular delegates behind Obama)

In the meantime Obama has picked up around 70 super-delegates in the past three weeks versus less than 10 by Hillary and Obama is less than 35 behind hillary right now in super-delegates. There would have to be an unprecendented change of heart by the remaining 350 or so uncommitted super-delegates, to reverse this total lead in delegates that Obama has. In all actuality Obama will finish up by at least 10 , perhaps by several dozen more super-delegates than Hillary

Rove is trying to stop Obama, that is clear. But he is now off the stage and about ready to leave the theatre. He is talking about a dream that is not and will not occur.