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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (16095)	4/2/2008 2:54:58 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Respond to of 149317

Shoe in. Best thing Johnny Mac can do is refuse to debate. Bomb, bomb, bomb, Bomb bomb Iran You still don't get it; there is a generational shift going on. 'You are old, Father William', the young man said, 'And your hair has become very white; And yet you incessantly stand on your head -- Do you think, at your age, it is right?' 'In my youth', Father William replied to his son, 'I feared it might injure the brain; But, now that I'm perfectly sure I have none, Why, I do it again and again.'

To: michael97123 who wrote (16095)	4/2/2008 10:25:59 PM
From: RetiredNow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 149317

It's all about probabilities. Nothing's every certain, but you are giving the 5% probability more than it's fair share of airing on this thread. If the tone of your posts were proportional to the stats, then you'd post 19 "reasons Obama will win" posts for every "doubting Thomas" post. The fact that you don't is more a reflection of your utility factor. In other words, you are hyper-risk averse. I'm also risk-averse, but tend closer to neutral, which allows me to make a call on Obama's eventual election based on statistics more readily than you. Then again, I've spent a lifetime looking at stats and making business decisions based on them.