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Strategies & Market Trends : Picks of the quarter -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Elroy who wrote (5998)	5/7/2008 12:19:43 AM
From: Elroy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 20435

Ok, we're beating the S&P to start off, keep it up!

To: Elroy who wrote (5998)	5/7/2008 9:46:16 AM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 20435

How hard to beat the S&P I used my browser to highlight every instance of "**" and got 4 of 39 or roughly 10.3% of us have beaten the S&P500 2 times in a row. Only 15 of us (38.5%) show up as beating the S&P500 in the last contest. It seems as a group we do worse than the S&P500, perhaps do to attempts to time or trade the market or we as a group are optimists and pick "early cycle" stocks we hope do well out of the economic slowdown.... On a coin flip basis, we would expect half to beat the S&P500 in the last contest and 25% should do it 2 times in a row... yet we only got 4 of 39 for 10.3% In edit mode... Perhaps allowing latecomers but with a 1% penalty brings down our averages vs the S&P500 AND we may need a larger sample size...