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To: Think4Yourself who wrote (124365)5/21/2008 10:53:12 AM
From: Cal AmariRespond to of 306849
 
"... longer term [crude oil] is going a LOT higher."

I agree completely. There may be some price fluctuations along the way to much higher plateaus, but I see no way that oil prices will not continue to rise given the following:

- consumption growth in Asia, Middle East, South America, etc.
- production declines in all the major fields (including giant fields in Saudi, Mexico, etc.)
- continuing conflict in the Middle East that will prevent substantial investment in oil producing infrastructure
- chronic underinvestment in oil producing infrastructure in Russia, exacerbated by the state's unwillingness to honor contracts

The U.S. and North Sea production histories show that peak oil is a reality; large oil fields do not produce forever. The amount of water injection to maintain wellhead pressure in Saudi Arabia and Mexico is alarmingly high - showing that the major fields are well past their natural production peaks.

It is high time for the U.S. to promote massive investment in coal-to-liquid fuels, wind, solar, geothermal, tidal energy, etc., IMO. But that would require foresight and massive investment to the exclusion of other fiscal priorities; I have little faith that anyone currently in office has the cojones to garner support for such grandiose proposals from a J6P electorate mired in perpetual denial of the challenges we face.



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (124365)5/21/2008 12:15:43 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
>> I wonder where all the oil is going, besides the SPR, which they are still filling.<<

Chindia.