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To: skinowski who wrote (7261)6/20/2008 10:50:40 PM
From: Moominoid  Respond to of 41420
 
The basic assumption that if most people are bearish they're probably wrong, that the market tends to anticipate the slowdown in economic activity and the March bottom looked very significant. So far the decline from the May high is analogous to the wave 2 decline in 1991. We need something to rescue us here now. Then it was a fall in the price of oil it seems. Oil looks like it is peaking here, though that could of course be completely wrong. The US economic slowdown so far doesn't seem as bad as predicted though numbers may be revised down further down the road. Everything, minute to minute seems to be hanging on the price of oil now, so it is unpredictable.