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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimF who wrote (899)7/24/2008 6:36:29 AM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86355
 
Its not bad, but it means the calculations are thrown off, and the actual net total cost consideration isn't as good as what was in the post.

But still very, very good.

Its not like there isn't a market for SUVs even at today's prices. The market shrunk, and the producers now have severe overcapacity (and also large unsold inventories), but we still sell a lot more trucks and SUVs than hybrids, and massively more than electric cars.

Truck fit into a different class, as they are also commercial vehicles. But my guess is (don't have data) that we are selling a lot more fuel efficient cars than SUVs these days. I'm sure you have seen the articles.

Look at sales of SUVs. Yes look at them. Electric car sales are insignificant compared to them. And almost certainly will continue to be for a long time.

Yes and SUVs out sell personal flying saucers... because they don't exist. And you have no clue, nor do I, what the future market will look like. I suspect that by the time plug in hybrids reach the market in volume, say in 2012, gasoline will be more than $6 per gallon, plug in hybrid will be lower in price (and probably subsidized, maybe by the electric utilities as well as government) and the cost/benefit analysis will be entirely different.

but rather expanding the conversation to all electric cars, they won't be an important segment of the market for quite some time, and they won't be important in terms of the installed base for even longer.

Define "long time".