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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: combjelly who wrote (401143)	7/23/2008 11:57:31 PM
From: i-node	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1577229

Which pretty much makes McCain dependent on Obama screwing up. Not really. There are many things that could happen that don't involve Obama screwing up. McCain has failed miserably to in his efforts to get any message out concerning Obama's lack of experience. Until after the Dems convention, he is not likely to really make progress with this; the media is just too consumed with Obama. But in the two months before the election, when the undecideds first start paying attention, we don't know what that situation will look like. It has to concern the Obama camp that the media frenzy on his trip hasn't moved the needles, at all, in the polls. The trip definitely helps Obama, but the polls aren't reflecting it for some reason. If Obama continues to run from a head-to-head debate with McCain, or if if Obama decides to have the debate and, as in prior debates, is unable to articulate a consistent view of key policy items, or who knows -- the Media may tire of giving Obama a free ride and warm up to McCain. Of course, the likelihood of Obama screwing up is high -- his screwups over the last few days have been pretty bad, but the media has given him a pass on them. There is a lot that can and will happen in the next couple of months. McCain could screw up too -- it is obviously very challenging for both these candidates. However, Obama's gaffes are much more substantive thus far than McCain's have been. Take this nonsense about the surge. Obama has refused to admit the surge has won the Iraq war, when everyone knows it has. He dodged the question with even Katie Couric three times, before saying, "I don't know what would have happened if MY strategy had been followed instead of the surge". Duh. We're still VERY early in this process. I'm not saying Obama won't win it, but there is nothing to suggest that the undecideds will break for Obama.