To: ChanceIs who wrote (106470 ) 8/4/2008 1:52:16 PM From: gregor_us Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206316 This is now the most severe correction in the energy equities, of the past 3-5 years. The temptation is to say that the context, a credit crisis and global bear markets, is most of the cause. In that context, participants may want to own energy equities, and would prefer not to sell them--but that is the sector where alot of capital has been hiding. So people are not feeling inclined to buy anything, and are selling what they can. This, despite the fact that valuations also reached their lowest point, of the past several years this Spring. I would also add that this correction comes after the Toronto basket of energy stocks, using the XEG etf, frankly went sideways for two years, before mounting a 3 month rally this late Winter and Spring. The action is telling you that the bull market in the energy complex is over. However, I would regard it as an oddball way to end the bull market, as valuations never got zany. And, with so much time spent going sideways. People have been lulled into thinking that an extraordinary bull market in energy equities has occurred over the past several years, because the price of Oil has been in the headlines, and has been so strong. However, in a strange way, I would argue that we are still very entrenched in the old framework, where energy equities spend at least as much time as a weak play on oil, as a strong play on oil. If you had no idea what the price of oil had done in this decade, and you looked at indexes like the XOI, you might think it was an index of industrial stocks that had generally moved up into a rising market. Certainly nothing notable, or with a wow factor. Gregor