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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TimF who wrote (1890)	8/21/2008 10:45:42 PM
From: J_F_Shepard	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 86356

" (its not a smooth downward curve, but that's what happens eventually)" No, that's not what happens. The curve will approach but never reach zero....and that will take a long long time. "but in the sense that it would seem like zero in terms of trying to support the economy on it), that doesn't mean it will approach zero any time soon." Yes, it does. Looking at the curve you can see that for all practical purposes, we are out of oil in about 10-20 years.... "If restrictions on drilling are lifted, American oil production should actually increase (at least if they are lifted fast enough), but increasing from here, still doesn't mean that we have not passed peak oil, because oil production is very unlikely to surpass the previous peak." And at this point you have absolutely no proof, and no previous model that says that is so....it's all a matter of faith and wishful thinking with you. Show one example anywhere in the world where the peak curve model has failed. Pick a well in Texas, Okla, Saudi Arabia, the North Slope, etc etc.....it cannot be reversed in any real way....and don't come back showing some 1 or 2 year upswing like when the North Slope came on line.... You don't seem to realize it, but you're agreeing with me to almost every detail, except that you don't understand peak oil theory. Or peak anything...