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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GST who wrote (98253)	10/3/2008 2:20:42 PM
From: NOW	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

keep on convincing yourself

To: GST who wrote (98253)	10/3/2008 2:46:01 PM
From: LTK007	1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

i submit again my RIPTIDE view: i still believe a critical factor to deflation is the consumer(as they are near 70% of GDP). In that light, the inflationary level of Crude is DEFLATIONARY for U.S. public. OPEC as stated they intend to try to have supply at levels to maintain 100crude price average. Merrill has come out with Crude to 50 call--i think that call is ridiculous. i am Peak Oil Theory convinced. i feel even in a deep recession Crude could drop only to say 80, and that ONLY temporarily. If JQP goes to frugality no amount of pumping up money supply is going to get them to go spendthrift again for a longtime. The worst possible scenario aside from Weimar Republic type GALLOPING Inflation would be that of Deflation and Inflation running against each other as that would be a brutal RIPTIDE phenomenon. i argued at the beginning of this year ago that as people howled at each other regards over One or the other,deflation versus rampant inflation ,none were addressing the idea of deflation/inflation currents forming a cruel riptide. Earlier this year(1/30/2008) i made this SIMPLE POST Message 24265929 Economic RipTide? Inflation>>>>>>>>>>>>>> <<<<<<<<<<<<Deflation Riptides are quite dangerous.Max p.s.i was banned from Clown-Free Zone by BEGGING to be banned to Lucretious, he was kind enough to oblige.:)