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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ajtj99 who wrote (88047)10/8/2008 10:05:35 PM
From: SouthFloridaGuy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Let me rephrase because I was very unclear and imprecise.

I meant that historically one has been paid in NOMINAL terms AT THESE VALUATIONS on a 10 year rolling basis.

Better yet: one has been paid 8 years after a generational top.

1974, 1938, etc.

Also, you can't exclude dividends.

At current valuations I suspect one will make the historical long run average from equity markets.

Happy Mid-way point.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (88047)10/8/2008 11:19:27 PM
From: Little Joe4 Recommendations  Respond to of 116555
 
I think I am correct in saying that several dow stocks in 1929 went out of business and were replaced by other stocks and this is not taken into consideration in this kind of analysis. So the numbers are a lot worse.

Little joe


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