SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: quehubo who wrote (112720)10/28/2008 10:05:51 PM
From: Ed Ajootian  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206191
 
que, my thinking is that the current recession is going to be worse than the '80-'82 recession (which until this one was the worst recession in the last 30 years). That period was similar to the current one in that oil prices had skyrocketed in the year or so before the recession (extending their rise during the start of the recession). As shown by both the WTRG and the EIA graphs, US consumption did not bottom out until early '83, even though oil prices had been steadily declining starting more than a year earlier.

I don't think its very productive to think about this subject in anecdotal terms, I think its more helpful to look at past history as a clue to what might happen next.



To: quehubo who wrote (112720)10/28/2008 10:55:29 PM
From: Archie Meeties  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206191
 
That data says that US demand peaked in 2005.

'05 20,802
'06 20,687
'07 20,680



To: quehubo who wrote (112720)10/29/2008 12:08:08 PM
From: donc1 Recommendation  Respond to of 206191
 
q..they look the same to me..albeit the y axis is a bit stretched in the former..

donc