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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock and Bond Market-Timing: Can it be Done? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: BFree who wrote (55)	1/17/2009 11:06:55 AM
From: Honey_Bee	Respond to of 3605

Bfree asked: "Is this a transparent attempt to have people believe that he "bought in" in Jan 2009 and didn't take a 6 year round trip to this point?" Bfree, Isn't there an old question about what a bear might do in the woods. 8^) Bfree said: "After all bob brinker claimed this was the buying opportunity nearly 6 years ago and has never sold, indeed has called "buying opportunities" all the way down from 1575 to the 800s. Bfree, That is absolutely correct. When the S&P was at 1575, Brinker was bragging about the EIGHT mid-1400's buying opportunities that had taken place earlier. It's hard not to believe that he loves to gloat. As you said, all the way down, he was calling new buying opportunities (he finally gave up from low-1200's to 752 and removed all of them). Then true to form, he got all puffed up about his low-1300's buying opportunity, so when the market returned briefly to the 1400 area, he was bragging about that one too. But when he was bragging about the low-1300's, did he tell the audience about the mid-1400's call? Again, what does that bear do in the woods? LOL! .

To: BFree who wrote (55)	1/18/2009 1:47:37 PM
From: Boca_PETE	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 3605

During recent days on the cable biz channels I heard Barton Biggs and other investment pundits opining that "an area around 800 ... as a great entry level here in anticipation of a large bear market rally during 2009". Are they wrong too? Is Brinker wrong now only because he stayed fully invested all the way down from the highs recommending what he saw as buy opportunities at various stages of the market's decline? Does this imply Brinker will be wrong from now on, or, for some unspecified period of time until you deem he has a second chance to make a correct future turning point call? Do you think that "market timing' could be compared to an "at-bat" in baseball whereby the pitch (fast ball, curve, knuckle ball, slider...) is made, and, the batter (you) either strike out, or, the batter (you) get a hit in the form of a single, double, triple, or homerun (you are on board for a profitable investment experience with the investment vehicle of your choice)? In baseball, every at bat is an opportunity, you know. With investing, Brinker could be viewed as "The Manager" or "coach" giving followers signals from the bench - swing, take, bunt, hit for the fences. He could be wrong at any time. You could be wrong at any time for not following and executing on his signals. If he fails to perform up to expectation, he could get fired by you or management at any time. Best wishes and profitable investing. P