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Strategies & Market Trends : Buying SPLITs and other Strategies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Terry Whitman who wrote (1102)1/31/2009 11:39:10 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Respond to of 1163
 
Worst
January
Ever

blogs.moneycentral.msn.com

By my previous study, however, the remainder of '09 may not be so bad-

JANUARY BAROMETER

(n) 1st 5 days Month Avg. Rtn +Ratio

4 DOWN DOWN -11% 1/4
6 DOWN UP +11% 5/6
3 UP DOWN +3% 2/3
9 UP UP +17% 8/9
<
10 DOWN - +2% 7/10
12 UP - +14% 10/12
15 - UP +15% 13/15
7 - DOWN -5% 3/7


Since the 1st 5 days were UP (albeit very minimally), the summary Jan. Barometer has shown a gain:
2/3 times for 3% avg. return. From here (-8% for Jan.) - that would make an +11% expected return for Feb-Dec.

Not bad in this economy- but this is a very small set of data.. so take it FWIW. WHich aint much,
but prolly just as good as any pundit U might read on the web..



To: Terry Whitman who wrote (1102)2/19/2009 9:38:38 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1163
 
NEW CHART reads.
Scale goes from -5 to +5:


SYMBOL Rating Prev. reading

MCD -2 -3
GE -2 -5
$SOX -4 -1
$RUT -4 -5
QQQQ -4 -2
HON -5 -1
ALU -5 -3
PPH -5 -3
DIA -5 -4
SPY -5 -4
GM -5 -5
T -5 -5

AVG. -4.25 -3.42
SCORE


As we approach the Nov. lows, scores are just a tad higher. Volume does not yet indicate
that this is anything but a re-test of the previous lows. That could change- but I'm guessing this
is just a part of the bottoming process- increasing the general bearishness, and shaking out weak hands.