To: Jay M. Harris who wrote (6370 ) 10/25/1997 4:45:00 AM From: Noneyet Respond to of 25960
Jay, I've read with interest your comments regarding Cymer and it's loyal investors. Possibly an unloyal investor can respond to you and elicit an answer ? In your post that I'm responding to, you state "' This may be my last post on this thread! I just want you all to be aware that CYMI's EPS will peak after the next 6 months and that the shares will trade down with the downturn in the equipment group. This is a controversial call, but I have assigned a high probability to my conclusion! This board is entirely too Bullish for me to post any further negative news. Should you be interested in the current down cycle, follow my posts on the IPEC thread." Below, I've linked a post from you on the IPEC thread which you refer Cymerians back to for your analysis on the semi-equipment stocks ( I assume ).exchange2000.com I do have questions, and I will list them below. Perhaps you care to explain your theory in greater detail to the loyal Cymer bulls. 1. I agree as does the market that the semi-equip. stocks future is uncertain. However there is a constant, almost to the person, all agree that the future for semiconductor manufacturers is in the ability in reduction of the chips size with added capabilities, correct ? 2. If that is correct, where do you see the slowdown for Cymer ? 3. Semi conductor's are used in many more applications than PCs. If the industry is ramping up for reduced size and added capabilities, in many different applications, what effect will that ramp up have on Cymer ? 4. If you see Cymer as a leader in this new generation, where do you see the pitfalls for the company ? 5. Are you bearish on the semi-conductor industry in general, and if so, do you believe that technology will take a giant step backwards in the near future ? 6. If you are not, do you feel that Cymer will lead the way in the manufacturing of semi-conductors ? 7. Will competition be allowed to catch up with Cymer in this downtrend and overtake it ? Or will EUV be brought to market prior to DUV becoming the mainstay, and thus eliminating a step in Moore's law ? I have one more question in conclusion, was your post above IYHO ( in your humble opinion ), or do you have information which at this time you chose not to share with the Loyal Cymer Bulls ? By the way, I don't think my questions are beyond a response from you, as I do think you left much to be desired in your original post. And my opinion for what it's worth. If this sector is experiencing a lull, downtrend or going backwards, Cymer and it's lasers should lead the way to a recovery. For as I'm sure you know, the world will come to an end within five billion years and we need a solution now. Cymer is one step in that equation at this moment. Best Regards, Tom