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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (94710)	2/25/2009 1:07:21 PM
From: TimF	2 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

I think the world would be more dangerous if Iran had nukes. As for safer if no one had them. Well it would be safer in one way and more dangerous in another. We would be less likely to have a war that destroyed civilization, but more likely to have a less serious but still major and very destructive conventional war. I don't see either war as very likely to happen soon (with or without nukes in the world). As destructive as smaller wars can be I regard the low likelihood of a really major war, something like a conventional WWIII, or something a bit smaller like a 2nd Korean War, China and the US fighting in earnest in response to a Chinese move towards Taiwan, etc. as an important good thing about the world today. I hope it will stay that way. For the near term future I suspect it will. But in the really long term there isn't much reason to think it will, except perhaps the fear of nuclear destruction acting as a deterrent. But the problem with that fear of destruction is that there is a reality behind it. While at any particular time nuclear war, even relatively small scale use of nukes, is unlikely, with more proliferation, and just more and more years for it to happen, I'm really concerned that eventually it will. Maybe not in my life time. Maybe not in the next couple of hundred years, but its not like nukes are going to go away.

To: mishedlo who wrote (94710)	2/25/2009 1:25:34 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	12 Recommendations Read Replies (5) \| Respond to of 116555

Sorry Mish but on this one you are way of the mark. You would be right if Iran had a true secular and democratic government but at present time they are ruled by an Extremist Islamic Regime, which wants to take over and intimidate all the ME, more so the oil rich countries and dictate to the world the price of crude oil and how to conduct themselves. For your own good please read the Quran and Shaaria Law etc. and then you may change your view. Important to understand the differences between the Suni and Shia sects not to mention the other splinter sects some of which are even more extreme

To: mishedlo who wrote (94710)	4/14/2009 1:53:30 PM
From: NOW	3 Recommendations Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

seems you agree with Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad "If a technology is beneficial, everyone should have it. If it is not, no one should have it. Can it be ... [that] we are not even permitted to pursue the peaceful use of nuclear energy? Our logic is completely clear: equal rights for all. The composition of the Security Council and the veto of its five permanent members are consequences of World War II, which ended 60 years ago. Must the victorious powers dominate mankind for evermore, and must they constitute the world government? The composition of the Security Council must be changed."

To: mishedlo who wrote (94710)	4/14/2009 9:36:48 PM
From: Hawkmoon	5 Recommendations Respond to of 116555

The world would be safer if Iran had nukes. It would be safer still if no one had them. Well.. that's one of the more irresponsible things you've stated. That would be like thinking the world was safer if Hizballah or Hamas had nukes.. Pakistan has nukes and the world hasn't become safer from their internal turmoil. Something you seem to be misunderstanding about the fanatical death cult political movements that have a grip upon many countries in the mid-east. They don't perceive nukes as a defensive measure.. For them they are weapons of aggression that are to be used to wipe out the enemies of Islam and usher in the advent of the Mahdi. Let me put it this way.. What if some messianic Christian Right-Wing country/region possessed Nukes and thought they could usher in the apocalypse and return of Jesus? Would that make the world safer? Hawk