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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Perspective who wrote (203833)5/22/2009 7:52:00 PM
From: NOWRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
CBRL is going to be a barrel of monkeys next week



To: Perspective who wrote (203833)5/22/2009 8:50:32 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favorRespond to of 306849
 
Wait and see if they take out the recent pivot lows. Then you'll have a good well defined stop point if they retest from below. In both cases it's only a few percent lower than where the stocks are now......



To: Perspective who wrote (203833)5/23/2009 10:31:17 AM
From: ChanceIsRead Replies (4) | Respond to of 306849
 
RE: DIN, CBRL and the Chicken Spread

I never gave up on BWLD, EAT, etc. Took some huge losses. The 10% cut your losses rule is now in force in my household. The fundamentals never presented a boolish case as far as I was concerned. Hey!!! I was right and the market wrong.

Schwab has CBRL on its "HTB" list. Tell you anything???

Now for the chicken spread. I shorted TSN and SAFM yesterday. SAFM is on the HTB list - sold calls. Both have raced too high and/or suffer from ridiculous, worst is over bounces. As foolish as it sounds, these chicken processors run up into Memorial Day and then take gas. I think that chicken margins may be coming back on lower commodity (corn) prices. But the damage done was huge. Massive plant closings which won't be reversed soon. I don't see corn staying low for too long.

(Am having trouble posting charts today. Hope the TSN and SAFM charts appear below)