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Politics : The Environmentalist Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: garrettjax who wrote (24768)	5/30/2009 10:00:19 PM
From: Wharf Rat	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 36917

To: garrettjax who wrote (24768)	5/31/2009 1:19:53 AM
From: Maurice Winn	1 Recommendation Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 36917

Excerpts from the article: science.nasa.gov <May 29, 2009: An international panel of experts led by NOAA and sponsored by NASA has released a new prediction for the next solar cycle. Solar Cycle 24 will peak, they say, in May 2013 with a below-average number of sunspots. "If our prediction is correct, Solar Cycle 24 will have a peak sunspot number of 90, the lowest of any cycle since 1928 when Solar Cycle 16 peaked at 78," says panel chairman Doug Biesecker of the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center. ...... The latest forecast revises an earlier prediction issued in 2007. At that time, a sharply divided panel believed solar minimum would come in March 2008 followed by either a strong solar maximum in 2011 or a weak solar maximum in 2012. Competing models gave different answers, and researchers were eager for the sun to reveal which was correct. "It turns out that none of our models were totally correct," says Dean Pesnell of the Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA's lead representative on the panel. "The sun is behaving in an unexpected and very interesting way." ... Cycles vary in length from about 9 to 14 years. Some peaks are high, others low. The valleys are usually brief, lasting only a couple of years, but sometimes they stretch out much longer. In the 17th century the sun plunged into a 70-year period of spotlessness known as the Maunder Minimum that still baffles scientists. > Now, here is my scientific analysis and prediction of a sun spot peak of 72 [rounded top] from my post of 26 October last year. <there was a bubble of high sunspot activity coinciding with the Baby Boom heyday from the late 1940s to the 1990s which also matched the stock market boom period. If you look at the beginning of each century, you will see that Napoleon was obviously going to be in trouble with snow around Moscow in 1812 and that there was going to be a winter of discontent in the trenches of the Western Front in WWI. The beginning of each century is cold with low sunspot activity. Now, let's do some maths. Get your slide rule out and we'll do some linear regression analysis, rounding the tops of each peak in activity and then drawing a horizontal straight line at the average of all those peaks. The average is 100. I admit I didn't get my slide rule out to calculate that but did it mentally, by looking at the graphs, so the average might be slightly above or below that. You will see that the next peak is going to be considerably LOWER than that line. On average, it would be on the line, but these are not average times. This is the beginning of a century, meaning it's going to be traditional low sun-spot activity. Also, the baby boom is moving into dotage and death and the process is well underway already with the unfortunate among us having already died. The intense electromagnetic field from the psychic activity of the billions of new humans obviously induced high intensity sunspot activity from the 1940s to the 1990s. I am not going to examine the average age of humans right now as that could spoil my theory on the cause of the high sun-spot activity from the 1940s to the 1990s. That's irrelevant to the central point anyway. It is obviously time to short sun-spot activity, hand over fist. The next peak will be 72 [not the highest level reached but the rounded peak]. During the Baby Boom era, it was running at 160. So we should more than double our money. But if we leverage up, and there is a LOT of money sloshing around looking for somebody to borrow it at low interest rates, we could make a fortune. We should also use $1 trillion of borrowings to buy Death Valley, the Sahara, Outback Oz and prepare for mass migration of people away from the encroaching glaciers and deepening snow. Those areas will become prime habitats or at least agricultural supply centres. Many people will prefer to live coastally as the sea holds attraction. The stock market is predictive of such things and the current declines are obviously as a result of the declining sun-spot activity even though people are unaware of that as the driving force. It's hard to sort out cause and effect in these situations where each causes the other much like Shroedinger's cat doesn't know whether the physicist is alive or dead until the physicist opens the box to see whether the cat is alive or dead. > Okay, I admit I included some silly stuff in there just for fun. It wasn't really psychic disturbance which caused sun spots. I thought I put a year for the peak somewhere and also the next low. I'll have a look. We have the high = 72 [rounded]. Now for the dates of the high and the next low. The so-called "experts" are trying to catch up with me and Sol. Luckily they have huge salaries to help them. Mqurice