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Politics : Politics of Energy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brumar89 who wrote (11218)7/13/2009 5:33:20 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86355
 
That's true. But then I've spent a lifetime in technology and I spend a good deal of my spare time pouring over new technology related to battery electric vehicles. So what is evident to me, may not be so evident to you, unless you spend the time I do. This industry is changing fast and the probability is high that the longer term winning battery technology will not be the ones we see on the market today. Lithium is promising, certainly, but the early on favorites aren't always the winners in the end.

I go with the probabilities. Right now, the chances are higher that electric car prices will come down substantially over the next 10 years, than the probability that they won't come down. Technological improvements and economies of scale make it highly like that prices will come down.