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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (54910)9/12/2009 9:51:49 PM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 217713
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(i) did a round of conference calls via skype, for around 2 hours all-in, with folks in canada and philippines, all free of charge, a nice tool generously provided by past investors in any and everything to do with the internet

speaking of which, re mail finance.yahoo.com , i am guessing that it would eventually return to single digit before disappearing entirely, but given recent momentum, you should be well out of the engagement and offloaded on some one less fortunate than you :0)

(ii) will take daughter to some ice skating show

(iii) remain negative on general equity markets

just in in-tray

Dow Jones close 10-Sep-2001: 9605.51
Dow Jones close 11-Sep-2009: 9605.41


iow, the general market went absolutely nowhere in 7 years, and will, imo, go nowhere for the next 14, at which time it should more sincerely tumble. so, peeing against the wind should generally prove to be peeing against the wind. only issue is how we happen to be dressed as we do so.

(iv) i have been so wrapped up in whatever i needed to do and have not been feeling any urgency to review and recalibrate my portfolio - satisfaction does that, and that is admittedly dangerous.

i am at:
5.5% cash (even split usd/hkd, and cad)
33% physical/paper metals
44% rental re
17.5% equity (mostly gdx, vermilion, petrobank, and an old line industrial company hiding a sexy new enterprise, tagged with some paas, cameco, etc etc of the usual suspects)

i am obviously positioned for hyper something and intend to load up on leverage when called for. i do not believe my position is fatal should i be a bit wrong about the path from zimbabwe to argentina or a bit off with the timing of the journey.

i can trade around the margins of gdx (7%), as well as paper gold (18%), and will trade it when suitable, and can do short naked put / short covered call when opportune.

i do have facility to rapidly leverage up on paper gold as well as gdx on fairly low interest basis by 30% of nav by a few button pushes, and i am as usual fearful of such capability / capacity, even though i do do so occasionally when wishing to tempt gods. this year's swiss chf trade was an example.

the big question to self: is gold @ 1050 the level or is 1100 / 1150 / 1200 for this iteration?

i am feeling, without foundation, but just feel (usa budget year start, seasonality, etc etc) that gold will gain to march 2010, and an temporary step-aside would be wise at that juncture, but not before.

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (54910)9/14/2009 8:43:04 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217713
 
hello pezz, today's report:

(i) typhoon #8 signal flag was up since yesterday at around 6:00pm, and now, 8:30am, still going strong, at #8, and so daughter gets one day holiday only after one day of new school year in transition class (pre-primary), a good happening

(ii) some greater fool, probably from the mainland, appreciated hong kong's freedom, laws, tax code, dynamism, flexibility, get-up-and-go, easy-come-easy-go, and view of the water; so much so that he paid USD 3.16 million for 590 square feet of precious useable space (gross space less wall thickness, attributed elevator lobby, staircase, etc etc), or usd 5,355/sft.

this is a better happening, as you of course remember that i am partial for ocean view in hk, and had recently lifted my allocation to ocean frontage ocean view right on edge of sand real estate, as well as upped my allocation to ocean view factory space at prices ranging from usd 116 to 232/sft :0)

the global synchronized tsunami, with down of the west and the up of the east decoupling averaging out to net zero zero sum game has been kind, so far, and so good.

recommendation: getgold, or the next best things, ocean view anything on money rock hk and freedom mountain kowloon.

scmp.com

HK$24.5m for one-bedroom flat sets record

Yvonne Liu
Sep 15, 2009

A one-bedroom flat in a luxury development in Tsim Sha Tsui has fetched a whopping HK$30,025 per sq ft, setting a record in Hong Kong.

A Hong Kong businessman who owns a trading firm has paid HK$24.5 million for an 816 sq ft flat on the 56th floor of The Masterpiece for his own use, according to Centaline Property Agency, which concluded the deal. The price is a record for a one-bedroom flat.

The useable area of the apartment is just 590 sq ft, similar to flats in mass residential projects.

Thomas Chan, Centaline sales director, said the buyer was willing to pay the high price because the flat offered views of Victoria Harbour and was centrally located.

In 2007, the average price of one-bedroom flats at The Arch, above Kowloon Station, was HK$17,000 per sq ft.

The 64-storey The Masterpiece in Hanoi Road was developed by New World Development and the Urban Renewal Authority.

It is the second-tallest residential building in Hong Kong after The Cullinan, above Kowloon Station.

The one-bedroom flat is the smallest unit in the project.

"The buyer could get a second-hand luxury flat with at least 1,500 sq ft and three bedrooms in Mid-Levels" for the price, said Koh Keng-shing, managing director at Landscope Surveyors and Landscope Realty.

Even though average prices at housing estates such as Taikoo Shing are still down from their 1997 peak, property agents said luxury residential prices had already exceeded their 1997 levels. The city's most expensive flat is a 7,088 sq ft unit at Branksome Crest in Mid-Levels, which sold for HK$240 million, or HK$39,786 per sq ft, in December 2007.

Flats previously peaked at about HK$20,000 per sq ft in 1997, Koh said.

The most expensive residential property in the city is a 3,300 sq ft house at 8 Severn Road on The Peak, which sold for HK$285 million, or HK$56,800 per sq ft, in June last year, making it the most expensive residential dwelling in Hong Kong and also Asia.

The new luxury developments in non-traditional luxury residential areas such as Tsim Sha Tsui and Kowloon Station are fetching higher prices than apartments in Mid-Levels and other high-end residential areas.

"Those projects have attracted new demand from mainland buyers and local investors, not the local end-users," Tsang said. "Some of the projects are overpriced. It may be risky for the buyers."

Tsang had confidence in the market outlook for luxury residential developments in traditional luxury areas as the supply was expected to remain low in the next few years.