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Technology Stocks : Texas Instruments - Good buy now or should we wait? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robert w fain who wrote (1946)10/30/1997 6:49:00 PM
From: Vijay Raghavan  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6180
 
businessweek.com

From Business Week (Next Issue)

TI: TOP OF HIS TECH LIST

Some on the Street blow hot and cold on volatile high-tech stocks,
particularly those of semiconductor companies. But not John
Skeen, research chief and senior managing director at NationsBanc
Montgomery Securities. He has been a steadfast technology
bull--even through the Oct. 27 market meltdown. Skeen is
convinced that technology issues will snap back and help fuel the
recovery. In the vast high-tech universe, which stock tops Skeen's
favored list?

He's gung ho on Texas Instruments (TXN), the world's leading
supplier of digital signal processors (DSPs) and the second-largest
maker of analog and mixed-signal chips. ''TI is a pure growth play,
which is in a strong upward trend,'' argues Skeen. Just a year ago,
TI was languishing at 43 a share. Since then, it has rocketed up,
hitting 141 on Oct. 13. That was two weeks before the Dow's
plunge. On Oct. 27, TI slumped 9 points, to 102. But by Oct. 29, it
had rallied, rising to 1147/16. Skeen feels certain the stock is on its
way to 180.

''TI is the Intel of the wireless world,'' says Skeen, referring to the
company's hot DSPs, the ''brains'' in cellular phones. TI holds 50%
of the business for cell-phone handsets, he adds.

On the other hand, TI's memory chips--which have been hampered
by soft prices--have been a drag on sales, on earnings, and on the
stock price. But Jonathan Joseph, who tracks the industry at
NationsBanc Montgomery, believes that chip prices are flattening
out and that further sharp drops are unlikely.

Increased demand as the market heads into its strong season is
soaking up excess DRAM capacity, notes Joseph. He figures that a
recovery in TI's DRAM business could add 30 cents to 50 cents a
share in earnings. He thinks TI will earn $4.28 a share this year,
$6.25 in 1998, and $8 in 1999.

Among TI's strengths, Skeen adds, are its solid balance sheet and
cash position. The company has salted away $3 billion since the
end of the previous quarter, notes Skeen, part of which resulted
from the sale of its defense business for $1.5 billion.

Skeen figures the company will use the money for an acquisition or
a share buyback. Either move, he adds, should boost earnings.

BY GENE G. MARCIAL