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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (23703)10/21/2009 11:37:28 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 71406
 
you mean to say it wont?



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (23703)10/22/2009 12:46:52 AM
From: RJA_  Respond to of 71406
 
>>instead they square the circle through a kind of magical thinking which assumes technology [BA -- and religion] will always save the day.



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (23703)10/22/2009 2:14:29 AM
From: benwood  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71406
 
1000 dollars invested 700 years ago at 1% would only be about million dollars. Remember that at 1%, the doubling is in 70 years, so after 70 years, you have 2 gold coins, and after 140 years, you have 4, etc.

I think the vast majority of our wealth today is because of cheap energy. If that continues to end -- no significant breakthrough on a scale and at a price to replace oil is anywhere close yet -- then our standard of living will contract, and quite possibly our population along with it due to a collapse in food production, yields, and/or transportation.



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (23703)10/22/2009 8:23:20 AM
From: carranza21 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71406
 
Bernstein's ultimate conclusion, that "[s]ince the capital markets and knowledge base are the most 'scalable' of the four input factors, capital- and knowledge-intensive postindustrial societies should sustain the highest growth," is open to substantial doubt.

A very large part of the globe cannot even charitably be deemed post-industrial. Capital markets, well, we've recently received a brutal education on their weaknesses. What to Bernstein may seem scaled to me looks leveraged.



To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (23703)10/22/2009 10:48:13 AM
From: gregor_us  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71406
 
Asset Allocation in a Peak Oil World: Nate Hagens.
aspo-usa.org

Good discussion of efficient frontier in a new era.

G