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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: i-node who wrote (531333)11/21/2009 12:19:18 PM
From: bentway  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574752
 
You link the chart to taxes, but totally ignore the Bush Depression that was turned into the Bush severe recession, a much more causative factor.



To: i-node who wrote (531333)11/22/2009 4:24:37 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1574752
 
There you go again. If you increase taxes, what happens to economic growth? You kill it. Look what happened when Clinton increased taxes in 93. We were on a trajectory that should have seen strong growth, and it killed it, overnight. Look what happened with Bush 41 violated his "no new taxes" pledge. THE NEXT MONTH THE ECONOMY COLLAPSED (I remember it like it was yesterday). The very next month.

This is absolute bullshit. Now I will refer you to facts, which you I'm sure you will completely ignore.

Higher Taxes: Will The Republicans Cry Wolf Again?
forbes.com

In 1993, Bill Clinton proposed another major tax increase. Perhaps because it was initiated by a Democrat, conservatives were even more convinced that it would bring about economic disaster. In an Aug. 3, 1993, media fact sheet, John Goodman of the National Center for Policy Analysis predicted the following results from the higher taxes: Capital formation would be reduced by $1.76 trillion through 1998, 1.34 million fewer jobs would be created and the real GDP growth rate would be 0.4% lower than it otherwise would have been.

An examination of the data, however, shows that this forecast was totally wrong in every respect. The following table shows what happened after the 1993 tax increase was signed into law on Aug. 10.


Year/Quarter Real GDP Growth
1993 III 2.10%
1993 IV 5.50%
1994 I 4.10%
1994 II 5.30%
1994 III 2.30%
1994 IV 4.80%



To: i-node who wrote (531333)11/24/2009 12:25:08 PM
From: TimF  Respond to of 1574752
 
But maximizing revenue HAPPENS to occur on the Laffer Curve at about the same time you maximize economic growth.

Maybe in the very long run (as all the extra growth will eventually give you more revenue even with lower rates), but not typically in the short run. In the short run many tax increases will increase revenue even if they hurt growth, esp. if your not talking about taxing investment, or taxing ordinary income in such a way as to create particularly perverse distortions, or taxing ordinary income at particularly high rates.

Yes the long run effect is more important in general terms, but in this context we probably need to consider the shorter run effect more, because tax policies aren't made for the long run, they tend to change every few years.

If we could cut tax rates in half (while cutting out the worst 50 or more percent of spending, so we don't increase the deficit), and keep that policy in place, then 100 years from now we might have more government revenue (while also having a freer wealthier population), but we wouldn't have more government revenue next year or even next decade.

Less extreme cuts, while having less potential ultimate benefit, might allow revenue to recover sooner but most cuts from our current level would not increase revenue in the short run (except possibly as a temporary demand side stimulus effect, but if we get such a benefit it would not be durable)