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To: Maxwell who wrote (7772)11/1/1997 11:22:00 PM
From: Gary Hoyer  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 25960
 
Maxwell, you said A good number for the demand of DUV excimer steppers comes from VLSI's research. They project the demand for the DUV excimer steppers for 1998 be 700. I still think the actual number will be much higher as the industry is racing to get to the .25um and 300mm.

Is it also your opinion that the stepper companies will collectively be able to build and ship that many steppers in 98? And if so why? The Morgan Stanley analyst in his 10/24 report went on and on about how he thought the stepper companies were overly optimistic in the number of steppers they could deliver. However, he didn't give a good explanation as to why he thought that way. I'm assuming he's basing it on the fact that Nikon is finding it harder to build these tools than they thought so everyone must be having problems.

Thanks again,
Gary.



To: Maxwell who wrote (7772)11/2/1997 3:06:00 AM
From: GuinnessGuy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25960
 
Maxwell,

-you(thankfully) wrote-
"When Mr. Sam said that polishers were not much in use at 0.35um he meant the DRAM/SRAM makers."

OK, then my reasoning for buying SpeedFam is intact since memory is such a large fraction of totlal semiconductor fabrication. Whew.....

-you also wrote-
"You seem to concern about Intel's delay of the Texas fab."

Well I don't have much concern but certainly the street does. And if the street doesn't like or understand what they are hearing they dump. Thanks Maxwell.

Regards...Craig