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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Webster Groves who wrote (61826)3/10/2010 11:46:59 PM
From: energyplay2 Recommendations  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217618
 
Launching biological warfare against the UK is unlikely to get the UK to hand over the Falklands.

The UK faced much stronger threats from Russia for many years.

Also, the UK has considerable biological capability, if only a moderate sized current biological warfare capability.

If Argentina wants to wake up to wheat rust, phyloxxia on the grape vines, and hoof and mouth disease for all their cattle, they should go ahead.

****
Regardless of who has the historical rights to the islands,
here's my assesment -

1) The Falklands are 300 miles from Argentina, not 50, so whoever holds it has an enormous advantage.

2) The UK is a major power with extensive capability, and as long as they are NOT landing on the main land and trying to control the population - The UK can kick Argentina around like a tin can.

I expect that the UK might be able to get two carriers close enough to take out about 70% of Argentina's air force.
Argentina does not have any anti-ship missiles with a range of more than 25 km. Brazil may have a longer range missile (100 km) ready in 2014.

3) If there really is an immense amount of oil there, the Argentines may try something. I would expect that a 50 kiloton airburst at 20,000 feet and about 30 km east of Buenos Aires would get their attention and calm them down. About 30 minutes after sunset, while there is still a little light in the sky. With proper notification, air traffic could be shut down, and everyone will hear a really big bang. I don't think this will happen, but the threat can be there.

This has been done before, when Nixon told the Soviets the stop suppling Syria and rein in their client state.



To: Webster Groves who wrote (61826)3/11/2010 2:17:28 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217618
 
Fears were raised last night that the U.S. could betray Britain over the future of the Falkland Islands after a senior American official called them by their Spanish name.

Secretary of State Philip Crowley referred to the islands as 'the Malvinas' during a series of bad-tempered discussions with British diplomats.

The use of the Spanish name by American officials has added to growing concerns that Barack Obama's administration is favouring the Argentine cause in the dispute over oil drilling rights in the South Atlantic.

It emerged yesterday that last month Mr Crowley answered a question about the Falklands by saying: 'Or the Malvinas, depending on how you see it.'
British diplomats have raised serious concerns about the ongoing conflict during recent weeks.
Officials said that several phone calls were made and an e-mail was sent after the State Department spokesman called the islands the Malvinas.

Asked why the U.S. chose to remain neutral despite Britain’s longstanding claims, the spokesman twice avoided calling them the Falklands, first saying 'whatever you want to call them' and then using the Argentine name.
The use of the Spanish name has heightened the already tense relations that mounted when Hillary Clinton endorsed Argentine president Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s call for talks on sovereignty while she was in Buenos Aires last week.
It is a breakdown in relations that has seen the two countries have a 'special relationship' fighting alongside each other in both Iraq and Afghanistan.


The Pentagon official primarily responsible for providing the British Forces 'with whatever they needed' in the Falklands campaign in 1982 yesterday accused the Obama Administration of insulting Britain.

Richard Perle, then assistant Secretary for Defence said: 'I think using the description Malvinas is offensive to British interests.'

President Fernandez de Kircher has launched a series of protests over British companies carrying out exploratory oil drilling off the Falklands coast.
The British Government has dismissed her protests and stated that the sovereignty of the Falklands is not in doubt.
The Assistant Secretary of State Philip Crowley said: 'The Secretary said we stand ready to help if that is desired.'

Mr Crowley acknowledged 'conversations' with British officials over the dispute with Argentina but said that he was not aware of ill-feeling.

Read more: dailymail.co.uk