To: ChinuSFO who wrote (73763 ) 5/7/2010 1:04:02 PM From: Wharf Rat Respond to of 149317 "Did you know that oil was spewing out on day 1?" It wasn't...started about day 3.5 Every deepwater work class ROV has a sector scan sonar. Sonar can pick up oil leaks that the naked eye cannot see. The picture of oil bubbles painted on a sonar screen is like fireworks going off. There was an ROV survey of the BOP and riser within hours after the rig sank. At that time there was no indication of any oil leakage from the BOP. And everyone breathed an extremely large, and extremely premature, sigh of relief. Estimates made about leakage are primarily done from aerial surveys and satellite photos and are notoriously inaccurate as is clearly stated in the USCG manual on reporting oil spills. The gravity of the oil, the temperature, weather, currents, time, weathering of the oil and other factors all have a major impact on the size of a slick from a given amount of oil. For example; if you are on a lake in very still water and pour a gallon - not a barrel, a gallon - of gasoline over the side in a matter of minutes you can have a slick covering a square mile – which will evaporate just a quickly, especially on a hot day. If you do the same with heavy crude like the Exxon Valdez spill it will probably take 500 barrels to cover that same square mile although with the fullness of time it will end up covering an area many times larger, and will take months to dissipate in the absence of heavy weather. This sweet crude is somewhere in between. It was sometime the night after the sinking that oil leaks started appearing from buckles and holes in the riser. This was stated to be about 1,000 barrels per day. I would read that to mean the leak was between 250 and 3,000 bpd. And a 5,000 bpd leak is probably between 2,000 and 10,000 bpd. Until there is some way to measure the flow like running it through a pipeline it is impossible to have any accurate measurement of the leakage.Message 26519444