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To: Lev Belov who wrote (39282)11/6/1997 9:56:00 PM
From: Joey Smith  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul E.: It appears that AMD's yield problem is much more serious than analysts/investors/OEMs had thought. What is your opinion on the impact on Intel? More leverage with OEMs? Where do you think AMD is going?
thanks,
joey
AMD struggles with chip
yield
By Suzanne Galante and Michael Kanellos
November 6, 1997, 5:25 p.m. PT

During a meeting with analysts, Advanced Micro
Devices (AMD) said today that its K6 processor
yield problems have not gone away, and that those
troublesome issues are going to affect profitability
and production goals.

The company said it would not meet its goal of
producing 2 million processors this quarter, the
second time in a row the company has missed its
production target. During the third quarter, AMD
had planned to produce between 1.2 million and
1.5 million K6 chips, but produced only a million.
At the time, AMD also said that it expected to
produce 15 million units in 1998.

Low processor yield caused AMD to report a
financial loss last quarter, and has been one of the
chief reasons that major computer vendors have
shied away from adopting the K6. Ironically,
AMD's bad news came on the same day that IBM
agreed to incorporate a K6 into one of its low-end
consumer computers.

At AMD's headquarters in Sunnyvale, California,
analysts met with executives to hear presentations
regarding the status of the company's various
businesses. But discussion of progress on the
company's production of K6 processors was the
main attraction for analysts, said Scott Allen, an
AMD spokesman.

Allen said the company's progress on yield issues
from last quarter have continued to impact
production this quarter. Yield refers to the
percentage of usable processors that emerge from a
silicon wafer. AMD's yields have been well below
the 50 percent mark for its high-level chips recently,
according to analysts.

While the chip maker is still producing both the .35
and .25 processor, its current focus is on the .25,
Allen said, adding, "Our future depends on our
ability to get .25 in full production in the Austin,
Texas, Fab 25 plant.

Fixing the yield problems isn't as easy as flicking a
switch, Allen pointed out. "The 2 million processor
goal was not met because we have not completely
solved the yield problems, which include getting
good dye per wafer and high frequency or speed of
the microprocessor," he said.

Allen said AMD has been addressing the
production problems by creating task forces and by
shuffling people and projects around. For example,
research and development in the Sunnyvale
sub-micron development center was suspended in
order to make more room for chip production.

The problems continue to push back profitability,
however. Allen said that, for the fourth quarter, the
company's break-even point is between $670
million and $700 million. In its third quarter, AMD
reported revenue of $596.6 million.

"It's pretty significant. The stock price has been
stable on the promises that management has been
making," said Richard Belgard, a consultant with
MicroDesign Resources. "Expect it to drop
tomorrow morning."

"This is potentially a bigger problem in the next few
quarters," said David Thor, an analyst with Boston
Equity Research Group. "No [computer
manufacturer or investor] is going to trust them to
make production goals."

While AMD missed production goals last quarter,
Thor said this marks the first time it has missed
when it faces such a huge opportunity with
low-priced PCs.

"Their problem now is forward-looking," Thor said.
"They won't be able to put together contractual
deals.No one is going to trust them."