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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (575369)7/7/2010 12:44:25 PM
From: Alighieri  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1570193
 
Like I said before Al, the CBO projections, along with three dollars, can buy me a tall mocha at Starbucks.

Glad to know that you won't be eating cat food anytime soon grasshopper.

Al
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Exclusive: Obama stimulus reduced our pain, experts say
Updated 4/23/2010 3:47 PM
By Paul Wiseman and Barbara Hansen, USA TODAY

President Obama's stimulus package saved jobs — but the government still needs to do more to breathe life into the economy, according to USA TODAY's quarterly survey of 50 economists.

Unemployment would have hit 10.8% — higher than December's 10% rate — without Obama's $787 billion stimulus program, according to the economists' median estimate. The difference would translate into another 1.2 million lost jobs.

But almost two-thirds of the economists said the government should do more to spur job growth. Suggestions included suspending payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, increasing spending on infrastructure, enacting a flat tax on income and extending jobless benefits.

The economists expect the jobless rate to remain in double digits until the third quarter.

David Berson, chief economist at PMI Group, worries that the housing market and the economy will suffer when the government's tax credit to first-time home buyers expires in April and the Fed stops supporting the housing market by purchasing mortgage-backed securities by March 31.

Bill Cheney, chief economist at John Hancock Financial Services, is relatively optimistic. He sees unemployment falling to 8.9% by the fourth quarter of this year. Cheney says other economists are "nervous Nellies," shell-shocked by the length and depth of this downturn. They've forgotten that "the deeper the recession, the faster you come out of it."

But Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial, says creating jobs is tougher than it was the last time unemployment passed 10% in the early '80s. The reason: The 1981-82 recession was engineered by the Federal Reserve to tame inflation through high interest rates. The Fed brought the economy back simply by reversing course and cutting rates.

This time, the Fed has pushed short-term rates to near zero and has flooded markets with money. But the financial system is so damaged by the Wall Street meltdown that it isn't converting easy money into loans and economic growth: "It's like the Fed is dropping money from a helicopter and it's getting caught in the trees," Swonk says.

The economists don't expect Fed chief Ben Bernanke to take his foot off the accelerator — and push rates up — until the third quarter. So they don't expect any change in the Fed's zero-interest-rate policy when its Open Market Committee meets Tuesday and Wednesday.

"Bernanke and his colleagues are very committed to doing the right thing," Cheney says. They learned from Japan's long 1990s slump, during which policymakers kept declaring premature victory and raising rates and taxes: "It's really important not to snuff out a recovery before it gets going."



To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (575369)7/7/2010 7:04:41 PM
From: combjelly1 Recommendation  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 1570193
 
"But hey, keep believing that unemployment checks are "stimulus.""

Well, let's see. They get checks, then spend those checks.

But, that isn't a stimulus, at least according to Republicans.

Now, according to those paragons of economics brilliance, what would be a stimulus is a tax cut. To businesses. Which, for the most part, are sitting on their money because they have over-capacity and no sign of an increase in demand. So they can have even more money to not invest or hire with. So they more than likely will pay a bigger dividend. Which makes their stock more attractive to investors, and Wall Street scores big!

Doesn't do a thing for the economy, but at least the ones contributing to Republican campaign coffers are happy. And that is truly what it is all about, isn't it?