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To: Bonnie Bear who wrote (7423)11/7/1997 11:57:00 PM
From: Joan Osland Graffius  Respond to of 18056
 
Bonnie, >>SPX 650 is a full correction to the international index, 800 is the fed's number for full value IF the earnings projections are correct.

Are you talking about the SPX 800 from the appendix of the minutes of the last Fed meeting. If so we have seen a fair amount of downgrading of earnings since then. (I think the Fed used Operational Earnings.) OTOH the bond has gone down since September. On balance I suspect full value is lower than 800, but not by much.

Joan



To: Bonnie Bear who wrote (7423)11/8/1997 1:06:00 AM
From: Brad Bolen  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Bonnie,

If I understand you correctly, why do interest rates have to go up to cause a full correction? Isn't the danger now an oversupply of stock (Asian) and product on the international markets...which bonds and gold are now telling us is deflationary?

B.

>>>To: +Haim R. Branisteanu (7417 )
From: +Bonnie Bear
>>>>>>Friday, Nov 7 1997 11:36PM EST
Reply #7423 of 7429

>>> SPX 650 is a full correction to the international index, 800 is the fed's number for full value IF the earnings
projections are correct.
So my guess is that it will settle in that range. We will not see a full correction until interest rates go up or a
fear-based correction hits the financial sector.