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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: energyplay who wrote (65682)8/23/2010 6:47:53 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217642
 
ep, you are clear thinking and moderate as usual. appreciate both. cheers, tj

ok, enough. now let us get back to the doom and partake in the gloom. we like drama :0)



To: energyplay who wrote (65682)8/23/2010 7:36:16 PM
From: prosperous2 Recommendations  Respond to of 217642
 
Yes that is a reasonable branch-predict, some things that could bring hope on the horizon are:
-Nov elections, dems lose majority and the govt starts doing less and let de-leveraging complete so we can build up from there
-The retail investor is already pulling out of the market evidenced by continuous outflows from mutual funds that ZH has been showing; that is a good thing because that leaves hedge funds playing with each other's computers. If a plug were to be pulled from the market at that point, very few will shed tears for hedge funds that will evaporate. At that point, the govt will/can't bailout the hedge funds who made bad bets, again part of de-leveraging. Its hard to see if it is intended or unintended...
-The stock market could see severe lows; however, I think the rest of the economy would go on, a lot of pain for jobless etc., my suspicion is late 2012/2013 the max pain hits
-Inflation is/will be a huge problem in Asia and its not clear they will do too well while things correct here



To: energyplay who wrote (65682)8/24/2010 1:02:57 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 217642
 
What? and no mention of us doing the heavy lift and avoiding disaster since we are consuming real good?

Look at Dow stock Intel - a $20 stock with $3 cash, 3% dividend and it aint going away. Walt Disney, McDonalds, Boeing, Cisco, Verizon, 3M, Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer, JPMorgan... Dow under 1000 means at least 3 have to go BK....which ones ?



To: energyplay who wrote (65682)8/24/2010 11:46:15 AM
From: prometheus1976  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217642
 
The problem with quoting the Dow is survivorship bias..

Standard Rope and Twine,Oh where are you now??

query.nytimes.com

en.wikipedia.org

en.wikipedia.org