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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (66046)9/14/2010 11:13:14 AM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217588
 
<<This is like old times......(i hope)>>

hello pezz, i hope for same, and as i need walking-around cash, have imperative to meet capital calls, feed family, pay staff, and whatever else, i naturally, as in the good old times, reach for the "cloud atm"

tonight's report,

(1) issued marching orders for deployment of advance guard units per below

(i) bought lots of gdx shares at 55.43
(ii) short sold lots of contracts of gdx put december strike 54 at 2.772
(iii) short sold lots of contracts of gdx covered calls december strike 57 at 2.62

(2) checked up on this investment Message 20797265 made in november of 2004; specifically this coin



i had bought this (circa 146-202 BC) exact coin acsearch.info in 2000/2001 at the then asking price of US$ 9,750 (US$ 780/gram) from classic numismatic when gold was dirt at sub 450/troy oz (US$ 14.5/gram). Premium over then spot was 54x.

the historical significance of the time 146 bc was of course the final sacking of carthage en.wikipedia.org "The Battle of Carthage was the major act of the Third Punic War between the Phoenician city of Carthage in Africa (a suburb of present-day Tunis) and the Roman Republic. It was a siege operation, starting sometime between 149 and 148 BC, and ending in the spring of 146 BC with the sack and complete destruction of the city of Carthage."

My carthage coin, as long duration and napping capital, is only for casually talking about, heavy viewing, and steamy fondling, and is not for sale until whenever.

I do not see any other like it on-line. Eventually the coin would be used as teaching aids for the kids; the lesson being, "when times go dire, and they always do, gold money is the only money, and all other monies are lesser and pale reflections of gold. times were particularly dire for the forgotten people of carthage, and when its money had to be gold or nothing at all".

The closest acsearch.info coin, circa 237 BC is now ask CHF 20,000 (US$ 1,600/gram) and estimate @ CHF 25k, when gold is at US$ 40/gram. Premium over spot is 39x.

so, if we use the same pricing for my 'better' coin, the carthage destruction coin has doubled in 'value' in 6 years, as gold has tripled in celebration of on-rush of new dire times, the coin has done a 12% annualized return. nothing spectacular, and certainly no bubble. not yet.

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (66046)9/20/2010 10:06:24 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217588
 
hello pezz, tonight's report:

iShares Silver Trust ETF
(i) bought massively SLV @ 20.40
(ii) short sold SLV November Put strike 20 @ 0.76
(iii) short sold SLV November covered Call strike 22 @ 0.43


Pan American Silver Corp.
(i) bought even more massively PAAS @ 28.38
(ii) short sold PAAS January Put strike 28 @ 2.00
(iii) short sold PAAS January covered Call strike 31 @ 1.45

am bullish, and so needed to sate 10 years of pent-up demand for silver

let us pray so as to better prey

tout ou rien, tj



To: pezz who wrote (66046)12/18/2010 6:36:58 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 217588
 
hello pezz, followup report:

(1) The cloud-atm of the market closed this trade Message 26819990

(i) bought lots of gdx shares at 55.43

(ii) short sold lots of contracts of gdx put december strike 54 at 2.772

(iii) short sold lots of contracts of gdx covered calls december strike 57 at 2.62


... meaning the puts expired harmless, at zero value, and
the shares got called away, at 57/shr, resulting:

- net 5.39 premium secured (2.772 + 2.62)
- gross 57.00 gdx called away
- total cost 55.43 of gdx
- net net %$@30(&* net 62.39 / 55.43 return, or 12.56% return over 90 days, or enough.

(2) I was negligent in my duty and forgot to followup on this trade Message 26833623

(i) bought massively SLV @ 20.40
(ii) short sold SLV November Put strike 20 @ 0.76
(iii) short sold SLV November covered Call strike 22 @ 0.43


... where the shares got called away at 22, netting a gain of 13.68% over 60 days.

(3) I look to this trade Message 26833623 to close out in my favor, as usual, as should be

Pan American Silver Corp.
(i) bought even more massively PAAS @ 28.38
(ii) short sold PAAS January Put strike 28 @ 2.00
(iii) short sold PAAS January covered Call strike 31 @ 1.45


... so that I can claim my well deserved 21% over 120 days.

sure, in all cases a straight long position would have netted more, but what would be the astuteness in that?

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (66046)12/21/2010 10:33:31 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 217588
 
Hello pezz, tonight's report: as expression of macro view, I had ...

Executed below:

(1) Shorted enough puts NLY April 2011, strike 18, at USD 1.15

(2) bought enough PAAS at USD 39.75
- sold equal covered Calls April 2011, 42 at USD 2.7098
- sold equal Puts April 2011, 38 at USD 2.8072

(3) bought enough FCX at USD 115
- sold same Put FCX, 105, may 2011 at USD 7.75
- sold same covered Call FCX, 119, may 2011 at USD  9.60

Putting earlier gains on risk's path. Simply believe we would be range-bound or bias-up between now and april / may. If crash, we would be bailed out by aug/sept.

I am making it up as I go, w/ the force.

Brave talk: Happy enough to have more of above or keep premium cash. If called away, not fussed.

Besides, need cash to buy gold.

Cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (66046)12/22/2010 6:57:26 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 217588
 
hello pezz, last night's report:

unsure of what it all may eventually mean, with

- pal jumping in usa financials waters

- pal stuck in london infrastructure

- pal publishing my favorite read and the christmas edition is titled "The Endgame has Begun"

- some yummy girl complaining that all highend restaurants and all presidential suites with victoria harbour view rooftop hot tubs are booked

- key mainland chinese counterparties are on CHRISTMAS VACATIONS (THEY ARE NOT SUPPOSED TO CHRISTMAS VACATION, THEY BARELY GOT STARTED WITH regular vacation)

- and now, here noir.bloomberg.com about this "Billionaire Ambani Turns to China to Cut Costs: India Credit "

- cheap labour, inexpensive credit, ... if that sovereign pile of paper comes out as credit to you me and everyone else, ala japan carry trade ... oh mi god ... how can anything ever go down in price again

anyways, added to my burdens and shorted more GDX puts, Jan 11, strike 60 at USD 1.72 to extract more walking around holiday cash from cloud atm

i am sympathetic with bubble-fears, as i had always been such since paced withdraw from idotnet arena and calibrated engagement with markets since

i fear

i fear we are dealing with the largest bubble ever, and as and when it goes pop, it would splatter the entire galaxy

i also fear that the bubble is young

i remember how puzzled i was when once upon a time little korea was buying up the world (at least the parts i was visiting) - puzzled as in "whoa, is korea not amazing!"

until the curtain was pulled back and the debt revealed by asian financial crisis

china does not puzzle me yet

perhaps i am fooled by the inflating bubbles averaged-in with deflating bubbles

2011 should be as entertaining as 2010 was

cheers, tj



To: pezz who wrote (66046)12/26/2010 9:40:18 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 217588
 
Hello pezz, report, Boxing Day, December 26th, 2010.

I did enough work for today and for just about all the days of 2010 leading up to today.

I am taking off the rest of the year, to relax, reflect, and rejuvenate.

My 6-years young daughter coconut and I have come to our favorite island. We will gather with her best friend Paul, and his dad, and my Vancouver pal and his young adult daughter. Yes, a no-wives-allowed holiday, wonderful, is it not, the best of all worlds.

I have trained my coconut well, to pack not as her mama would, but compact, thought-out, practical, and like father like daughter, packing her own iPad. Coconut uses her iPad to manage her Piggy Bank, note her Secret Diary (coconut is making weekly entries, complete with tagged photos and manipulated drawings), practice her Chinese characters, do math, paint, draw, look up facts, and discern the truth. Wonderful.

Even better, we did not have to suffer being groped by good-for-nothing-else cretins empowered by wastrels and acquiesced to by tax-serf sheeple who for strange reasons believe they are the electorates and in charge; but I digress.

We do not have our usual house on the beach, but are situated a few feet away on the same beach a bit closer to our favorite restaurant on this island.

We ordered provisions a few days ago, got the house staff to get busy, and stocked enough for the entire group of six until 2011. While at the hong kong airport we spontaneously exchanged some credit for goodies at a geewhizbang specialty shop the motto of which is "creators of fine gastronomy, passion for life, obsession with excellence, guardians of traditions, designers of the future".

Usually I would have collected another gold coin per my airport tradition, but this time we spent a coin's worth on grocery as one would at any supermarket, remembering that one must give back some so as to receive more. There seems to be some unfairness built into cloud ATM system.

Who can know, once the revolution gets under way all goodness may just go extinct, and if not, the globalization that fails to drive our planet to revolution may instead cause wild inflation of a kind powered by 2 billion people empowered by double digit annual and seriously real income gains.

Another worry. I understand that china is now providing outsourcing services to make efficient the day-trading arena of USA domain. This is worrying. For if the USA market is made 'efficient' - meaning looting reduced from fat to meager, or shutdown altogether, the cloud ATM schema would suffer greatly. A worry indeed.

Offsetting the worry is gold, naturally.

Ten years ago our very small bag of groceries carried onto the plane would have cost us about 30% of today's price. Given that gold has gone 'up' about 4-5X in the mean nasty time, I say gold has done its job, as it is supposed to, ordained to, and thank goodness did. I cannot think of a lot of reasons why the next ten years would be different from the last ten years. Can you?

In the greater scheme of arrangements gold has done well, averaging an effectively tax-free 10% return per annum since 1971. I cannot think of many investments doing that well with so little fuss, and no management fees ! Can you?

Investment is difficult enough as it is, and there should be no reason to decrease the odds by putting faith to .... Well, never mind, past is past.

Over the next few days let us expend some synaptic cycles to the future.

Cheers, tj